Studio Weekend Estimates: ‘The Magnificent Seven’ Earns A Magnificent $35.0M; ‘Storks’ Flaps Its Wings To $18.5M

Sony/Columbia’s The Magnificent Seven shot its way to first place at the box office this weekend, with an estimated $35.0 million debut. The Western action film stars Denzel Washington, Chris Pratt, and Ethan Hawke as members of a vigilante group defending their hometown against an invading industrialist. With an A- CinemaScore, the film earned a solid opening, but fell far short of the most optimistic estimates that it might contend for the highest September opening ever. In fact, it may not even have posted the best opening of this September, with the current studio weekend estimate running neck-and-neck with the $35.0 million opening for Sully two weeks ago. (Final numbers for weekend actuals come out Monday.)

Compared to other recent Western films, Magnificent Seven opened above all its competition from the past few years. It starts about 16.1 percent above the $30.12 million opening of 2012’s Django Unchained, 19.8 percent above the $29.21 million debut of 2013’s The Lone Ranger, and 40.9 percent ahead of the $24.83 million start of 2010’s True Grit. Compared to the last Denzel Washington film, it starts about 2.5 percent ahead of the $34.13 million debut of 2014’s The Equalizer on this same weekend two years ago. Compared to Washington’s last team-up with Ethan Hawke, Magnificent opens about 1.4 percent ahead of the inflation-adjusted opening for 2001’s Training Day.

The Magnificent Seven started with $12.70 million on Friday (including $1.75 million in Thursday evening shows), ticked up 8.4 percent to $13.775 million on Saturday, and is projected to decline 38.1 percent to $8.525 million on Sunday. This places its opening weekend to Friday ratio at an estimated 2.75 to 1. (The film is a co-financed production between Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer Pictures and Columbia Pictures, with MGM overseeing production, in association with LStar Capital and Village Roadshow Pictures.)

Warner Bros.’ Storks took second place with a decent but underwhelming estimated $21.80 million opening. The animated film was about a world where storks deliver packages instead of babies and starred the voices of Andy Samberg, Kelsey Grammer, and Jennifer Aniston. The received an A- CinemaScore from an audience that was 60 percent female and 44 percent under age 18, and actually received an impressive A+ CinemaScore from those under age 25. Compared to other recent animated films about birds, Storks starts 44.5 percent behind the $39.32 million opening of 2014’s Rio 2, and only 35.3 percent ahead of the financial disappointment that was the $16.11 million start of 2010’s Legend of the Guardians.

Storks started with $5.76 million on Friday (including $435 thousand in Thursday evening shows), increased a huge 63.8 percent to $9.44 million, and is projected to decline 30.0 percent on Sunday to $6.60 million. This places its opening weekend to Friday ratio at a very high estimated 3.78, which makes for the one of most back-loaded openings among wide releases this year. Most wide releases see Friday as the highest-grossing day of their opening weekend, while some make their most money on Saturday and push Friday to second-highest, but it’s very unusual indeed for a film to have Friday as its third-highest grossing day of the three-day box office weekend.

Warner Bros. took third place as well with Sully, the top film for the past two weeks, which was knocked off its perch with a 36.1 percent decline to an estimated $13.83 million. Universal’s romantic comedy Bridget Jones’s Baby dropped 47.3 percent to an estimated $4.52 million in fifth place. To put that into perspective, the previous two installments in the trilogy experienced a negligible second-weekend decline of only 5.1 percent and the rarely-seen second weekend increase. Open Road Films’ Snowden rounds out the top five with a 48.2 percent drop to an estimated $4.14 million.

The top 10 films this weekend earned an estimated cumulative $93.76 million. That’s 31.8 percent above last weekend’s cumulative $71.09 million, but 25.3 percent below the $125.66 million cumulative for the same weekend last year, when Hotel Transylvania 2 led the box office.

Overseas Update:

Bridget Jones’s Baby took in an estimated $21.9 million overseas, down 26.8 percent, in 47 markets. It’s now earned a $67.1 million overseas and $83.6 million global total. Notable grosses to date include $27.5 million in the United Kingdom (no doubt helped by having fellow Brit Colin Firth star), $7.7 million in Australia, $3.7 million in the Netherlands, and $3.3 million in Spain.

Storks started debuted an estimated $18.3 million overseas in 33 markets, for a $36.8 million global total through its opening weekend. Notable grosses included $5.2 million in China, $2.4 million in Mexico, $1.9 million in Russia, and $1.5 million in Brazil.

The Magnificent Seven earned an estimated $15.5 million overseas in 46 markets. Notable grosses to date include  $2.7 million in the United Kingdom, $1.8 million in Russia, $1.2 million in Germany, $1.1 million in Brazil, and $1.1 million in Spain. It’s now earned a $21.3 million overseas and $56.3 million global total .

Studio Weekend Estimates for Friday, September 23 – Sunday, September 25, 2016:

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The Magnificent Seven (2016) $35,000,000 3,674 $9,526 $35,000,000 1 Sony / Columbia
2 Storks $21,805,000 3,922 $5,560 $21,805,000 1 Warner Bros.
3 Sully $13,830,000 -36% 3,955 430 $3,497 $92,393,447 3 Warner Bros.
4 Bridget Jones’s Baby $4,520,000 -47% 2,930 3 $1,543 $16,457,675 2 Universal
5 Snowden $4,144,989 -48% 2,443 0 $1,697 $15,139,215 2 Open Road
6 Blair Witch $3,950,000 -59% 3,121 0 $1,266 $16,128,695 2 Lionsgate
7 Don’t Breathe $3,800,000 -33% 2,438 -770 $1,559 $81,110,808 5 Sony / TriStar
8 Suicide Squad $3,110,000 -34% 2,172 -568 $1,432 $318,133,343 8 Warner Bros.
9 When the Bough Breaks $2,500,000 -54% 1,444 -802 $1,731 $26,613,349 3 Sony / Screen Gems
10 Kubo and the Two Strings $1,103,000 -57% 1,209 -548 $912 $45,954,573 6 Focus
11 Hell or High Water $1,100,000 -47% 1,128 -377 $975 $24,840,427 7 CBS Films / Lionsgate
12 Pete’s Dragon (2016) $901,000 -58% 1,230 -718 $733 $74,244,342 7 Disney
13 The Wild Life (2016) $415,000 -85% 1,431 -1062 $290 $7,704,512 3 Lionsgate / Summit

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Bad Moms $1,007,000 -43% 986 -500 $1,021 $111,679,552 9 STX Entertainment
2 No Manches Frida $740,000 -43% 416 -40 $1,779 $10,305,221 4 Lionsgate / Pantelion
3 The Secret Life of Pets $673,000 -45% 747 -258 $901 $364,311,700 12 Universal
4 Sausage Party $575,000 -52% 551 -630 $1,044 $96,396,592 7 Sony / Columbia
5 Jason Bourne $527,000 -52% 623 -385 $846 $161,301,540 9 Universal
6 Hillsong – Let Hope Rise $405,000 -70% 763 -53 $531 $2,088,120 2
7 The Beatles: Eight Days a Week – The Touring Years $397,566 -36% 151 66 $2,633 $1,462,504 2 Abramorama
8 War Dogs $378,000 -63% 417 -485 $906 $42,478,188 6 Warner Bros.
9 Mechanic: Resurrection $315,000 -61% 398 -560 $791 $20,752,477 5 Lionsgate / Summit
10 Star Trek Beyond $295,000 -52% 338 -170 $873 $158,085,083 10 Paramount
11 The Hollars $273,456 133% 298 201 $918 $729,600 5 Sony Pictures Classics
12 The Light Between Oceans $273,000 -65% 416 -717 $656 $11,941,871 4 Disney / DreamWorks
13 Finding Dory $210,000 -28% 197 -95 $1,066 $484,207,686 15 Disney
14 Florence Foster Jenkins $180,000 -54% 235 -332 $766 $26,958,345 7 Paramount
15 Ice Age: Collision Course $175,000 -26% 198 -41 $884 $63,684,932 10 Fox
16 Ben-Hur (2016) $130,000 -44% 240 -198 $542 $26,275,163 6 Paramount
17 Nerve $105,000 -46% 172 -72 $610 $38,460,509 9 Lionsgate
18 The BFG $91,000 -33% 131 -48 $695 $55,365,013 13 Disney / DreamWorks

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Queen of Katwe $305,000 52 $5,865 $305,000 1 Disney
2 The Dressmaker $180,522 36 $5,015 $180,522 1 Broad Green Pictures
3 Don’t Think Twice $132,431 -30% 95 -45 $1,394 $4,002,437 10 The Film Arcade
4 Hunt for the Wilderpeople $78,100 -10% 81 5 $964 $5,012,966 14 The Orchard
5 Cafe Society $57,000 -33% 48 -41 $1,188 $10,992,547 11 Lionsgate / Amazon
6 Greater $55,134 -53% 60 -47 $919 $1,837,672 5 Hammond Entertainment
7 Indignation $25,590 -12% 24 -13 $1,066 $3,311,419 9 Roadside / Summit
8 Southside with You $25,500 -69% 43 -71 $593 $6,249,313 5 Roadside / Miramax
9 White Girl $20,000 -27% 12 -4 $1,667 $153,041 4 FilmRise
10 Max Rose $17,485 29 $603 $56,365 4 Paladin
11 A Tale of Love and Darkness $17,000 -32% 17 -16 $1,000 $555,347 6 Focus World
12 The Jungle Book (2016) $14,000 -52% 34 -23 $412 $363,996,606 24 Disney
13 Kicks $12,000 -81% 15 -50 $800 $146,292 3 Focus World
14 The People vs. Fritz Bauer $10,502 -76% 19 -16 $553 $279,311 6 Cohen Media Group
15 Command and Control $10,426 3 $3,475 $18,976 2 American Experience / PBS Films
16 The Best Democracy Money Can Buy: A Tale of Billionaires & Ballot Bandits $10,000 1 $10,000 $10,000 1 Cinema Libre Studio
17 Demon $9,022 -49% 10 -5 $902 $56,764 3 The OrchardThe Orchard
18 Come What May $7,831 16% 6 2 $1,305 $33,759 3 Cohen Media Group
19 Is That a Gun in Your Pocket? $7,814 -25% 3 1 $2,605 $21,978 2 Area23a
20 Generation Startup $6,032 1 $6,032 $6,032 1 Long Shot Factory
21 Howards End (2016 re-release) $4,378 62% 3 -1 $1,459 $158,105 5 Cohen Media Group
22 Girl Asleep $2,700 1 $2,700 $2,700 1 Oscilloscope Laboratories
23 The Music of Strangers $2,503 -44% 10 -2 $250 $1,160,863 16 The Orchard
24 Chronic $1,912 2 $956 $1,912 1 Monument Releasing
25 Life, Animated $965 -65% 5 -5 $193 $242,757 13 The Orchard