Studio Weekend Estimates: ‘Secret Life of Pets’ Repeats On Top w/ $50.5M; ‘Ghostbusters’ Second w/ $46.0M; ‘Infiltrator’ Opens w/ $5.2M

Universal’s The Secret Life of Pets held onto the top spot for the second weekend in a row, fighting off tough competition from the highly anticipated Ghostbusters reboot. Pets made an estimated $50.56 million, down 51.5 percent from its massive opening last weekend. It’s now earned $203.14 million through 10 days, placing it 9.7 percent ahead of Inside Out, 2.6 percent ahead of Despicable Me 2, and 5.8 percent behind Minions through the same points.

Sony’s much-discussed Ghostbusters remake rode the buzz surrounding its all-female lead cast to an estimated $46.0 million opening weekend. The science-fiction action comedy starring Melissa McCarthy, Kristen Wiig, Kate McKinnon, Leslie Jones, and Chris Hemsworth rebooted the 1984 classic and notched the highest opening for a live-action comedy in more than a year.

Among comparable films, Ghostbusters starts 58.1 percent ahead of the opening weekend for Spy, 17.6 percent ahead of the opening for The Heat, 19.3 percent behind the opening of 22 Jump Street, and 33.5 percent behind the opening for Pitch Perfect 2. It also bested both the inflation-adjusted opening weekend and improved second weekend for the original 1984 film by about 32.6 percent and 19.3 percent respectively, and came about 27.7 percent below the $63.69 million inflation-adjusted opening weekend for Ghostbusters II in 1989.

The new Ghostbusters started with $17.2 million on Friday (including $3.4 million from Thursday night shows), declined a mild 4.9 percent to $16.35 million on Saturday, and dropped a further 23.8 percent to $12.45 million on Sunday. This places its opening weekend to Friday ratio at an estimated 2.67 to 1. With an overall B+ CinemaScore and mixed reviews, not to mention the high anticipation likely leading to a high opening weekend relative to its overall gross, expect this to drop pretty significantly next weekend. Reviews were highly segregated by gender, with 56.2 percent of female IMDB users rating the film a perfect 10, but only 13.1 percent of male users doing the same.

Warner Bros.’ The Legend of Tarzan slipped 47.1 percent to an estimated $11.12 million and third place. With $103.05 million through its third weekend, it’s running 7.2 percent behind the gross of 1999’s animated Tarzan through the same point, even without adjusting the original’s gross for inflation.

Disney’s Finding Dory sank 47.0 percent to fourth place with an estimated $11.04 million, just a hair behind Legend of Tarzan and close enough that the two titles could swap positions when weekend actuals come out on Monday. Dory extends his lead as the highest grossing film of 2016 and is running 81.0 percent ahead of predecessor Finding Nemo through the same point, or about 23.2 percent ahead when adjusting Nemo for inflation.

With $445.50 million to date through five weekends, Dory overtakes 2004’s Shrek 2 $441.22 million to become the highest grossing animated film domestically of all time. (Adjusting for ticket price inflation, Dory is currently the sixth-highest animated film, behind The Lion King, Shrek 2, Finding Nemo, Aladdin, and Toy Story 3, though it’s poised to eclipse the latter two films within the next few days.)

Fox’s Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates dropped 54.9 percent to fifth place with an estimated $7.50 million, for $31.23 million through two weekends. Universal’s The Purge: Election Year declined 50.9 percent to sixth place and an estimated $6.08 million, for $71.00 million through three weekends. It’s running 12.2 percent ahead of second installment The Purge: Anarchy and 19.1 percent ahead of the original The Purge through the same points. Warner Bros.’ Central Intelligence dropped a mild 34.0 percent — the lowest drop of any of the top films this weekend — to an estimated $5.30 million and seventh place, for $117.50 million through five weekends.

Broad Green Pictures’ The Infiltrator started with a lackluster estimated $5.28 million, although its relatively low theater count may have hampered its potential. The drama thriller starring Bryan Cranston got an early jump on the weekend by opening last Wednesday and has earned $6.74 million to date. With mixed reviews and a crowded summer schedule, this movie looks to fade fast and seems a poor follow-up to Cranston’s Oscar nomination last year.

Rounding out the top 10, Disney’s The BFG tumbled 52.0 percent to an estimated $3.74 million and ninth place, for $47.33 million through three weekends. Fox’s Independence Day: Resurgence tanked 55.7 percent to an estimated $3.45 million and tenth place, for $98.51 million through four weekends.

The top 12 films this weekend made an estimated cumulative $154.06 million, which is 26.3 percent behind last weekend (due largely to the huge splash from the Secret Life of Pets opening) and 15.9 percent behind the same weekend last year when Ant-Man and Trainwreck opened.

Overseas Update:

Ice Age: Collision Course crushed the competition overseas with $53.4 million, up 72.0 percent, in 51 markets ahead of its domestic release this Friday. The film has earned $127.0 million overseas so far, led by $19.6 million in Mexico, $13.2 million in Germany, and $11.4 million in Brazil. The film looks to do significantly better internationally than domestically, as current U.S. projections for this upcoming weekend are lower than for previous installments in the franchise.

Finding Dory continues its overseas dominance with $36.5 million, up 22.8 percent, as it expanded into 45 markets. It’s now earned $276.2 million overseas and $721.7 million globally, led by $38.3 million in China, $33.7 million in Australia, and $23.7 million in Brazil.

The Legend of Tarzan held on with $22.0 million overseas, down 18.5 percent, in 55 markets. It’s now earned $90.6 million overseas and $193.6 million globally, led by $9.3 million in Mexico, $8.8 million in the United Kingdom, and $7.6 million in Russia.

Ghostbusters opened with $19.1 million overseas, led by $6.1 million in the United Kingdom, $3.7 million in Australia, and $2.2 million in Brazil. Combined with its domestic opening, the film has now earned $65.1 million globally.

Other key overseas grosses this weekend include:

  • Now You See Me 2 with $17.5 million, up 66.9 percent, in 77 markets — for a $203.7 million overseas and $267.2 million global total.
  • Independence Day: Resurgence with $16.2 million, down 19.4 percent, in 55 markets — for a $239.2 million overseas and $337.7 million global total.
  • Central Intelligence with $10.0 million, up 2.0 percent, in 54 markets — for a $63.0 million overseas and $180.5 million global total.
  • The Secret Life of Pets with $4.4 million, down 45.0 percent, although it’s only opened in nine markets — for a $50.8 million overseas and $254.0 million global total.

Studio Weekend Estimates for Friday, July 15 – Sunday, July 17, 2016:

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The Secret Life of Pets $50,560,000 -52% 4,381 11 $11,541 $203,147,865 2 Universal
2 Ghostbusters (2016) $46,000,000 3,963 $11,607 $46,000,000 1 Sony / Columbia
3 The Legend of Tarzan $11,120,000 -47% 3,551 -40 $3,132 $103,050,257 3 Warner Bros.
4 Finding Dory $11,040,000 -47% 3,536 -335 $3,122 $445,504,450 5 Disney
5 Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates $7,500,000 -55% 3,008 26 $2,493 $31,323,716 2 Fox
6 The Purge: Election Year $6,080,000 -51% 2,671 390 $2,276 $71,001,660 3 Universal
7 Central Intelligence $5,300,000 -34% 2,381 -460 $2,226 $117,508,303 5 Warner Bros. / New Line
8 The Infiltrator $5,287,124 1,601 $3,302 $5,287,124 1 Broad Green Pictures
9 The BFG $3,747,000 -52% 2,182 -1210 $1,717 $47,336,611 3 Disney / DreamWorks
10 Independence Day: Resurgence $3,450,000 -56% 2,290 -771 $1,507 $98,516,443 4 Fox
11 The Shallows $3,000,000 -38% 1,695 -711 $1,770 $51,395,089 4 Sony / Columbia

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Sultan $985,000 -58% 274 -9 $3,595 $5,258,990 2 Yash Raj Films
2 The Conjuring 2 $860,000 -50% 566 -486 $1,519 $101,111,661 6 Warner Bros. / New Line
3 Now You See Me 2 $700,000 -47% 523 -341 $1,338 $63,553,532 6 Lionsgate / Summit
4 Hunt for the Wilderpeople $563,325 46% 155 83 $3,634 $1,464,969 4 The Orchard
5 The Jungle Book (2016) $505,000 100% 276 79 $1,830 $360,840,363 14 Disney
6 Free State of Jones $487,000 -64% 506 -758 $962 $20,394,424 4 STX Entertainment
7 X-Men: Apocalypse $265,000 -35% 250 -38 $1,060 $154,973,089 8 Fox
8 Swiss Army Man $262,154 -61% 228 -372 $1,150 $3,743,408 4 A24
9 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows $260,000 -22% 185 -108 $1,405 $80,845,917 7 Paramount
10 Me Before You $250,000 -40% 238 -80 $1,050 $55,340,084 7 Warner Bros. / New Line
11 Warcraft $194,275 -56% 149 -79 $1,304 $46,965,880 6 Universal
12 The Lobster $185,820 -29% 101 -21 $1,840 $8,686,351 17 A24
13 Captain America: Civil War $181,000 -38% 184 -54 $984 $406,575,194 11 Disney
14 Maggie’s Plan $129,318 -21% 127 24 $1,018 $3,125,765 9 Sony Pictures Classics
15 Alice Through the Looking Glass $96,000 -56% 107 -38 $897 $76,347,854 8 Disney
16 Zootopia $69,000 -47% 131 -30 $527 $341,141,546 20 Disney

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Cafe Society $355,000 5 $71,000 $355,000 1 Lionsgate / Amazon
2 Captain Fantastic $277,321 196% 36 32 $7,703 $406,141 2 Bleecker Street
3 The Innocents $162,000 27% 69 35 $2,348 $398,243 3 Music Box Films
4 The Music of Strangers $102,850 -31% 82 5 $1,254 $755,034 6
5 Hillary’s America – The Secret History of the Democratic Party $82,500 3 $27,500 $82,500 1 D’Souza EntertainmentQuality Flix
6 Weiner-Dog $69,560 -24% 74 11 $940 $383,580 4
7 Genius $43,165 -45% 51 -26 $846 $1,291,020 6 Roadside Attractions
8 Our Little Sister $33,773 34% 9 6 $3,753 $71,674 2 Sony Pictures Classics
9 The Man Who Knew Infinity $28,800 -38% 32 -7 $900 $3,819,731 12 IFC Films
10 Weiner $28,600 -50% 26 -21 $1,100 $1,563,432 9 IFC Films / Sundance Selects
11 Life, Animated $27,300 30% 19 11 $1,437 $89,436 3 The Orchard
12 Norman Lear: Just Another Version of You $12,800 -24% 3 1 $4,267 $35,887 2 Music Box Films
13 Phantom Boy $4,803 1 $4,803 $4,803 1 GKIDS
14 Les Cowboys $4,225 6 $704 $73,725 4 Cohen Media Group
15 The Witness (2016) $3,000 -63% 5 -2 $600 $133,337 7 FilmRise
16 The Fits $3,000 -59% 4 -4 $750 $130,329 7 Oscilloscope
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