Weekend Estimates: ‘Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles’ Nets $35.2M; ‘X-Men’ Down Sharply To $22.3M; ‘Me Before You’ Solid w/ $18.2M; ‘Popstar’ Eighth Place w/ $4.6M

Paramount’s Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows took first place at the box office this weekend with an estimated $35.25 million, though representing a huge decline over its prequel. The fantasy action sequel starring Megan Fox started on Friday with $12.5 million (including $2.0 million from Thursday night previews), increased 4 percent to $13.00 million on Saturday, and declined 25 percent on Sunday to $9.75 million. This places its 3-day weekend to Friday ratio at an estimated 2.82 to 1.

Yet despite its first place finish, the box office includes some disappointing statistics as well. Adjusted for inflation, Out of the Shadows had the all-time worst opening weekend for a film opening in 4,000+ theaters, below the previous low of 2013’s Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2. Shadows also starts 46.2 percent behind the $65.57 million opening of its prequel, 2014’s Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles — and that film opened in August, when films usually open lower than they do in June. In fact, adjusted for inflation, Shadows opened below the openings for 1990’s original Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles and 1991’s sequel Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles II. Shadows did at least start 45.3 percent higher than the $24.25 million opening weekend of 2007’s TMNT, the failed first attempt to reboot the franchise.

Fox’s X-Men: Apocalypse took second place with an estimated $22.32 million. The superhero sequel starring Jennifer Lawrence, Michael Fassbender, and Oscar Isaac was down a sharp 66.0 percent from last weekend (or 72.0 percent relative to last weekend’s four-day grosses including Memorial Day). The decline was higher than the second-weekend drops of 64.2 percent for 2014’s X-Men: Days of Future Past and 56.2 percent for 2011’s X-Men: First Class. Apocalypse has now earned $116.49 million through 10 days of release, which is 28.0 percent behind the $162.02 million 10-day start of Days but 18.8 percent of the $98.02 million 10-day take of First Class.

Warner Bros.’ Me Before You opened in third place with a respectable estimated $18.27 million. The romantic drama starring Emilia Clarke and Sam Clafin started with $7.77 million on Friday, decreased 20.5 percent on Saturday to $6.17 million, and declined 30.0 percent on Sunday to $4.32 million. This places its 3-day weekend to Friday ratio at an estimated 2.35 to 1. With an “A” CinemaScore and two-thirds of its audience over age 25, a demographic that usually doesn’t rush out to opening weekends, the future looks strong for Me Before You. (Another fun fact about the audience demographics: 81 percent of Me‘s attendees were female.)

Among recent romantic dramas, its opening was 44.4 higher than the $12.65 million start of last year’s Paper Towns and 40.3 percent above the $13.01 million opening of last year’s The Longest Ride. Me Before You even opened “only” 32.3 percent behind the $27.01 million opening of last summer’s Terminator: Genisys, last summer’s attempted blockbuster also starring Game of Thrones‘ Clarke.

Universal’s Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping bombed with an estimated $4.63 million opening and an eighth place rank. The R-rated comedy starring Andy Samberg as a juvenile music sensation started with $1.78 million on Friday, declined 4.5 percent to $1.7 million on Saturday, and dropped a further 32.4 percent to $1.15 million on Sunday. This places its 3-day weekend to Friday ratio at an estimated 2.60 to 1. The film started 65.5 percent below the $13.45 million opening of Samberg’s previous live-action wide release, 2012’s That’s My Boy, and 84.3 percent behind the $29.51 million start of 2011’s Justin Bieber: Never Say Never, the documentary from which the film parodies its title.

Disney’s Alice Through the Looking Glass took fourth place with an estimated $10.69 million, dropping 60.2 percent from last weekend (or 68.0 percent relative to the four-day weekend). The fantasy sequel starring Johnny Depp, Anne Hathaway, and Mia Wasikowska was down a much larger percentage than the 46.0 percent second-weekend decline of 2010’s prequel Alice in Wonderland. Looking Glass‘ $50.77 million 10-day start is down a stunning 75.7 percent from the first Alice‘s $209.33 million 10-day take. To put it another way, the first Alice made more in its first two days of release than its sequel has in its first 10 days.

In other box office estimates, Sony’s The Angry Birds Movie dropped 47.9 percent (60.2 percent from the four-day weekend) to take in an estimated $9.77 million, Disney’s Captain America: Civil War declined 50.7 percent (62.0 percent from the four-day weekend) to make an estimated $7.59 million and widen its lead as the highest-grossing film of this year, Universal’s Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising dropped 49.8 percent (58.9 percent from the four-day weekend) to an estimated $4.70 million. To put that into perspective, Universal’s comedy made more money this weekend during its third weekend than its fellow comedy release Popstar did in its concurrent first weekend. Rounding out the top 10, Disney’s The Jungle Book declined 40.1 percent (55.3 percent from the four-day weekend) to $347.46 million, while Warner Bros.’ The Nice Guys dropped 46.0 percent (57.3 percent from the four-day weekend) to $3.52 million.

Disney’s Zootopia fell out of the weekend top 10 for the first time since its release after spending an amazing 13 consecutive weeks in that tier, the most since Frozen spent 16 weeks there in 2013-14, as Zootopia falls to 14th place this weekend with an estimated $790 thousand. Still, that small sum helped it pass the billion-dollar global total this weekend, becoming only the second release of the year to do so after Disney’s fellow Captain America: Civil War. The film’s ability to make money this long after its March 4 theatrical release is all the more impressive considering its DVD release is this Tuesday.

A24’s The Lobster expanded from 116 to 560 theaters this weekend, earning an estimated $1.55 million. The film has boasted box office increases of 90 percent or more every weekend since its release a month ago.

Next weekend will see three new wide releases: Universal’s fantasy video game adaptation Warcraft, Lionsgate’s thriller sequel Now You See Me 2, and Warner Bros.’ horror sequel The Conjuring 2.

Overseas Update:

Fox’s X-Men: Apocalypse earned an estimated $84.4 million overseas this weekend, a 52.5 percent increase, in 66 markets led by a $59 million opening from China. The film has now earned $286.0 million overseas and $402.5 worldwide. Totals to date include $23.0 million from the United Kingdom, $17.0 million in Mexico, $18.0 million from Korea, $15.9 million from Brazil, $12.9 million in France, and $10.3 million in Russia.

Paramount’s Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows opened with an estimated $34 million in 40 markets, for a $65.0 million global total. It earned more domestically than internationally, a rarity for a modern summer blockbuster — although its overseas gross may overtake its domestic gross when the film opens in China on July 2. The film made $5.3 million in the United Kingdom, $4.8 million in Russia, $2.3 million in Indonesia, and $2.2 million in Malaysia.

Universal’s Warcraft continued its overseas run ahead of its domestic release next Friday with an estimated $29.9 million overseas, down 5.3 percent, in 28 markets for a $70 million overseas total. Opening atop the box office in seven of its eight new markets, to date the film has $17.3 million in Russia, $10.0 million in Germany, $7.8 million in France, $5.5 million in the United Kingdom,  $2.8 million in Brazil, $2.5 million in Spain, and $2.0 million in Italy.

Sony’s The Angry Birds Movie made an estimated $31.8 million overseas, up 7.8 percent, in 87 markets for a $157.2 million overseas and $284.4 global total. To date the film has earned $49.0 million in China, $10.7 million in Russia, $8.5 million in Germany, $8.4 million in the United Kingdom, $6.4 million in Brazil, and $6.1 million in Mexico.

Disney’s Alice Through the Looking Glass made an estimated $30.9 million overseas, down 52.4 percent, in 45 markets for a $125.5 million overseas and $186.2 million global total. Key performance to date include $49.5 million in China, $10.4 million in the United Kingdom, $8.9 million in Mexico, $7.3 million in Russia, $6.7 million in Brazil, and $5.4 million in Italy.

Disney’s Zootopia crossed the worldwide billion-dollar threshold with $3.6 million overseas from 16 markets, for a $662.8 million overseas and $1.00002 billion global total.

Weekend Estimates for Friday, June 3 – Sunday, June 5, 2016: