Weekend Forecast: ‘Captain America: Civil War’, ‘Money Monster’, & ‘The Darkness’

Two new releases hit the market this weekend, but neither will be a match for Marvel’s latest blockbuster as Captain America: Civil War is set to easily repeat atop the box office on the heels of its excellent debut and strong word of mouth. Our analysis:

Money Monster

PROS:

  • Reuniting George Clooney and Julia Roberts could be a solid counter-programming effort aimed toward adults.
  • Economic thrillers are hit and miss, but the timeliness of the subject matter could be an advantage.

CONS:

  • Neither Clooney or Roberts have displayed significant drawing power in the last few years.
  • The lack of early reviews plus soft social media buzz have us on the conservative end.

The Darkness

PROS:

  • Kevin Bacon’s leading presence could help this horror flick stand out with older genre fans.
  • It’s been awhile since the last horror breakout, so fans may be hungry for this type of film.

CONS:

  • In all likelihood, most horror fans are waiting for other releases this summer — particularly The Conjuring 2.
  • Social media buzz is also soft for this title, while marketing has been minimal.

Top 10 Forecast

Boxoffice forecasts this weekend’s top ten films will generate around $124.1 million. That would mark a 29 percent decline from the same frame last year when Pitch Perfect 2 and Mad Max: Fury Road debuted ahead of Avengers: Age of Ultron‘s third weekend, which drove the top ten to $175.5 million.

Check out our complete weekend forecast below.

Title Distributor Weekend Domestic Total Through
Sunday, May 15
Captain America: Civil War Disney $81,000,000 $306,000,000
The Jungle Book (2016) Disney $16,500,000 $310,500,000
Money Monster Sony / TriStar $8,900,000 $8,900,000
Mother’s Day (2016) Open Road $4,800,000 $30,500,000
The Darkness High Top Releasing $4,500,000 $4,500,000
Zootopia Disney $2,500,000 $331,500,000
The Huntsman: Winter’s War Universal $1,800,000 $43,800,000
Keanu Warner Bros. / New Line $1,600,000 $18,300,000
Barbershop: The Next Cut Warner Bros. / New Line $1,500,000 $51,200,000
The Boss Universal $1,000,000 $61,000,000

Daniel Garris, Shawn Robbins, and Alex Edghill contributed to this report.

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