Weekend Projections: ‘Doctor Strange’ ($39M) & ‘Trolls’ ($34M) Keep Rolling; ‘Arrival’ Strong w/ $22M; ‘Almost Christmas’ Eyes $15M; ‘Shut In’ Takes $3.3M

Saturday Update: Doctor Strange and Trolls continue rolling with estimated $14.919 million and $12.215 million takes on Veterans Day, respectively. They will easily repeat atop the box office this weekend with around $39 million and $34 million, also respectively.

Paramount reports that Arrival scored an excellent $9.355 million on opening day, notably exceeding expectations. Rave reviews and strong word of mouth should continue propelling the film in the days and weeks ahead. Look for an opening weekend around $22 million.

Meanwhile, Almost Christmas debuted with a healthy $5.9 million yesterday; Hacksaw Ridge tacked on $3.8 million; and Shut In debuted with $1.425 million.

Our key weekend projections are listed below. Official studio weekend estimates will be published tomorrow.

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Doctor Strange $39,000,000 -54% 3,882 0 $10,046 $148,982,169 2 Disney
2 Trolls $34,000,000 -27% 4,066 6 $8,362 $92,964,315 2 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
3 Arrival $22,000,000 2,317 $9,495 $22,000,000 1 Paramount
4 Almost Christmas $15,000,000 2,376 $6,313 $15,000,000 1 Universal
5 Hacksaw Ridge $9,800,000 -35% 2,971 85 $3,299 $31,289,321 2 Lionsgate
6 The Accountant $4,300,000 -27% 2,342 -346 $1,836 $77,455,755 5 Warner Bros.
7 Tyler Perry’s Boo! A Madea Halloween $3,400,000 -56% 2,104 -130 $1,616 $70,258,079 4 Lionsgate
8 Shut In $3,300,000 2,058 $1,603 $3,300,000 1 EuropaCorp Films
9 Jack Reacher: Never Go Back $3,200,000 -41% 2,584 -495 $1,238 $54,461,711 4 Paramount
10 Inferno $3,000,000 -51% 2,656 -920 $1,130 $31,332,015 3 Sony / Columbia
11 The Girl on the Train (2016) $1,700,000 -37% 1,008 -564 $1,687 $73,403,130 6 Universal
12 Ouija: Origin of Evil $1,600,000 -59% 1,538 -842 $1,040 $34,110,090 4 Universal

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Moonlight (2016) $1,300,000 5% 176 93 $7,386 $4,717,660 4 A24
2 Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children $1,100,000 -46% 955 -755 $1,152 $85,047,107 7 Fox
3 Keeping Up with the Joneses $600,000 -45% 510 -554 $1,176 $14,326,578 4 Fox
4 Ae Dil Hai Mushkil $470,000 -40% 163 -133 $2,883 $4,303,896 3 FIP
5 Deepwater Horizon $400,000 -47% 390 -393 $1,026 $60,590,287 7 Lionsgate / Summit
6 Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life $290,000 -28% 226 -259 $1,283 $19,588,578 6 CBS Films / Lionsgate
7 Kevin Hart: What Now? $165,000 -72% 196 -257 $842 $23,482,850 5 Universal

===

Friday Report: Paramount’s Arrival kicked off with $1.45 million on Thursday night. That nearly triples the $500,000 earned by Bridge of Spies last year, while also topping The Accountant‘s $1.35 million and The Girl on the Train‘s $1.23 million.

Almost Christmas is off to a very fair start as well with $507,000 earned last night. By comparison, Boo! A Madea Halloween took in $860,000 just a few weeks ago.

Meanwhile, Shut In reportedly did not receive any screenings on Thursday night. For the weekend as a whole, Doctor Strange is expected to easily retain first place again on the heels of strong word of mouth. Trolls will also hold well as it looks to claim second place again — although a further breakout by Arrival could possibly challenge that.

We’ll have weekend projections based on official Friday estimates tomorrow morning.

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