Weekend Projections: ‘Wonder Woman’ Eyes $51M; ‘The Mummy’ Aims for $30M; ‘It Comes at Night’ Pacing for $6.1M

Saturday Update: Warner Bros. reports this morning that Wonder Woman lassoed another $15.8 million on Friday, easing just 59 percent from opening day last week. That Friday-to-Friday drop stands as one of the best of the genre, outperforming the likes of  Man of Steel (-71.5 percent), Guardians of the Galaxy (-67.5 percent),  The Dark Knight (-65.4 percent), and The Avengers (-63.8 percent). In fact, the hold is comparable to Iron Man’s 57.8 percent drop in 2008 — yet another indicator of excellent word of mouth and staying power ahead. With $163.623 million in the domestic bank through eight days of play, Wonder Woman stands nearly 16 percent ahead of the pace of the aforementioned first Iron Man film. With a projected $51 million sophomore frame, the DC sensation should be close to the $200 million total domestic threshold by the end of the weekend.

Debuting in second place, The Mummy posted $12.028 million domestically. That generally lines up with our final expectations earlier this week, although notably below where the film had been tracking in weeks prior. Poor reviews and being overshadowed by Wonder Woman are likely the key factors in the soft domestic opening that should translate to around $30 million stateside by Sunday. That said, Universal projects the film will open to $139 million internationally across 63 territories this weekend, which would mark the largest overseas debut ever for a Tom Cruise movie (beating War of the Worlds‘ $102.5 million). Notably, the film debuted to $19 million in China on Friday.

Meanwhile, It Comes at Night proved to be more front-loaded than expected as it pulled $2.457 million on Friday after — and including — its $700,000 Thursday launch. We’re now projecting an opening weekend around $6.1 million.

Our key weekend projections are listed below.

Please note that Bleecker Street had not responded to requests for Megan Leavey estimates as of this publishing.

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Wonder Woman $51,000,000 -51% 4,165 0 $12,245 $198,822,503 2 Warner Bros.
2 The Mummy $30,000,000 4,035 $7,435 $30,000,000 1 Universal
3 Captain Underpants $13,000,000 -45% 3,529 95 $3,684 $45,262,512 2 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
4 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales $10,300,000 -53% 3,679 -597 $2,800 $135,426,294 3 Disney
5 It Comes At Night $6,100,000 2,533 $2,408 $6,100,000 1 A24
6 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 $6,000,000 -39% 2,911 -596 $2,061 $366,119,172 6 Disney
7 Baywatch $4,300,000 -51% 2,832 -815 $1,518 $50,765,135 3 Paramount
8 Alien: Covenant $1,610,000 -61% 1,814 -846 $888 $71,022,212 4 Fox
9 Everything, Everything $1,600,000 -52% 1,546 -829 $1,035 $31,711,952 4 Warner Bros.

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 My Cousin Rachel $890,000 523 $1,702 $890,000 1 Fox Searchlight
2 Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul $650,000 -50% 897 -1191 $725 $19,372,258 4 20th Century Fox
3 The Boss Baby $530,000 -15% 432 -252 $1,227 $171,841,526 11 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
4 Snatched $460,000 -65% 651 -974 $707 $44,985,831 5 Fox
5 Gifted $114,000 -36% 162 -63 $704 $24,286,352 10 Fox Searchlight

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Friday Report: The Mummy began its domestic launch last night with what is estimated to be a $2.66 million start. By comparison, that falls 33.5 percent below both Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation and Independence Day: Resurgence‘s $4 million each, while coming in 48 percent ahead of Edge of Tomorrow ($1.8 million).

A24’s It Comes at Night also rolled out Thursday evening to the tune of $700,000, a very encouraging start for the well-reviewed horror/thriller. Its performance bested The Gift‘s $590,000 by 19 percent as the film hopes to play well throughout the weekend.

No early screening grosses for Megan Leavey were available at the time of this publishing, but we expect a fairly modest performance from the Bleecker Street release.

Meanwhile, Wonder Woman added an estimated $9.185 million on Thursday overall, pushing its seven-day domestic haul up to an impressive $147.9 million. The DC film is expected to easily retain first place this weekend ahead of The Mummy‘s debut.

Key Friday estimates from the studios and weekend projections will be listed here on Saturday.

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