Saturday Update: Toy Story 4 is heading for another first place finish this weekend, as expected, with Disney reporting a $17.04 million Friday. That brings the hit sequel’s domestic total to $196.0 million through four days of play, 6 percent ahead of the eight-day pace of Toy Story 3 nine years ago ($185.5 million). With yesterday’s earnings, Boxoffice projects the sophomore frame will land around $56 million.
Annabelle Comes Home is pacing to take second place this weekend as it added $6.6 million in its third day of release, climbing to $17.4 million since its domestic Wednesday debut. Although it’s performing slightly below our pre-release forecasts as it paces 13 percent behind the three-day total of The First Purge last year ($19.965 million), the film is still in very profitable territory and continues the Conjuring franchise’s sustained success. Boxoffice projects around a $20 million weekend, which would net a five-day opening north of $30 million stateside. Internationally, the WB/New Line pic stands at $21.1 million through Friday.
Opening in a strong third place, Universal’s Yesterday scored $6.06 million on opening day Friday (including Thursday night’s earnings). Director Danny Boyle and screenwriter Richard Curtis’s love letter to Beatles fans marks the latest musically-driven success on the big screen. As the film looks to over-perform against pre-release tracking and expectations, we’re expecting between $16 million and $17 million this weekend.
Meanwhile, Avengers: Endgame‘s expansion to 2,025 yielded $1.864 million on Friday and brings the domestic haul to $837.65 million. We’re projecting a $6 million+ domestic weekend. Disney hasn’t provided a global update as of this report, but if a similarly strong increase was seen from major markets internationally, the Marvel epic is now a few steps closer to reaching its goal of toppling Avatar‘s $2.788 billion worldwide record. Endgame stood at $2.752 billion before Friday.
Early domestic weekend estimates are below. Studio updates to follow on Sunday.
Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, JUN. 28 – SUN, JUN. 30
| # | TITLE | WEEKEND | LOCATIONS | AVG. | TOTAL | WKS. | DIST. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toy Story 4 | $56,000,000 | -54% | 4,575 | 0 | $12,240 | $234,989,809 | 2 | Disney |
| 2 | Annabelle Comes Home | $20,500,000 | — | 3,613 | — | $5,674 | $31,334,459 | 1 | Warner Bros. |
| 3 | Yesterday | $16,900,000 | — | 2,603 | — | $6,493 | $16,900,000 | 1 | Universal Pictures |
| 4 | Aladdin | $9,700,000 | -27% | 3,235 | -200 | $2,998 | $306,217,946 | 6 | Disney |
| 5 | The Secret Life of Pets 2 | $6,700,000 | -35% | 3,353 | -451 | $1,998 | $130,812,000 | 4 | Universal |
| 6 | Avengers: Endgame | $6,600,000 | 232% | 2,025 | 1040 | $3,259 | $842,381,161 | 10 | Disney |
| 7 | Men in Black: International | $6,100,000 | -43% | 3,663 | -561 | $1,665 | $64,580,511 | 3 | Sony / Columbia |
| 8 | Child’s Play | $4,400,000 | -69% | 3,007 | 0 | $1,463 | $23,528,399 | 2 | United Artists Releasing |
| 9 | Rocketman | $3,500,000 | -38% | 2,003 | -411 | $1,747 | $83,803,960 | 5 | Paramount Pictures |
| 10 | John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum | $2,900,000 | -29% | 1,550 | -57 | $1,871 | $161,040,088 | 7 | Lionsgate |
| 11 | Godzilla: King of the Monsters | $2,000,000 | -48% | 1,370 | -998 | $1,460 | $106,530,951 | 5 | Warner Bros. |
| 12 | Dark Phoenix | $1,600,000 | -55% | 1,187 | -867 | $1,348 | $63,484,878 | 4 | Fox |
| 13 | Anna | $1,400,000 | -61% | 2,114 | 0 | $662 | $6,631,309 | 2 | Lionsgate / Summit |
| # | TITLE | WEEKEND | LOCATIONS | AVG. | TOTAL | WKS. | DIST. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shaft | $1,300,000 | -63% | 947 | -2005 | $1,373 | $18,724,833 | 3 | Warner Bros. |
| 2 | The Other Side of Heaven 2: Fire of Faith | $675,000 | — | 205 | — | $3,293 | $675,000 | 1 | ArtAffects Entertainment |
| 3 | Ma (2019) | $480,000 | -58% | 468 | -394 | $1,026 | $44,677,700 | 5 | Universal Pictures |
| 4 | Dumbo | $80,000 | -33% | 120 | -20 | $667 | $114,424,069 | 14 | Walt Disney Pictures |
| # | TITLE | WEEKEND | LOCATIONS | AVG. | TOTAL | WKS. | DIST. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Captain Marvel | $25,000 | -59% | 84 | -61 | $298 | $426,810,827 | 17 | Disney |
| 2 | Breakthrough | $20,000 | -48% | 54 | -18 | $370 | $40,694,266 | 11 | 20th Century Fox |
Friday Report: Warner Bros. and New Line’s Annabelle Comes Home added $3.635 million on Thursday after its $7.19 million opening day Wednesday, giving the horror franchise sequel a two-day domestic haul of $10.822 million going into the weekend. Comparisons are limited at this point given the mid-week opening, fan following, and proximity to next week’s holiday corridor, but the film currently stands 22 percent behind the two-day pace of last year’s The First Purge, which also opened on a Wednesday (although it was the Fourth of July).
Meanwhile, Yesterday bowed last night to an estimated $1.25 million from shows beginning at 7pm in 2,200 locations. That’s not far off from the $1.75 million earned by Rocketman‘s Thursday night shows last month (which excluded $580K in Fandango preview earnings from a previous night).
More updates to follow throughout the weekend as Toy Story 4 is again expected to reign atop the box office.
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