Long Range Forecast: ‘The Huntsman: Winter’s War’

Daniel Garris, Shawn Robbins and Alex Edghill contributed to this report.

Universal’s The Huntsman: Winter’s War is currently the only wide release scheduled for the weekend of April 22. BoxOffice feels the follow-up to 2012’s Snow White and the Huntsman could potentially find itself in a tight race that weekend with the second weekend performance of Disney’s The Jungle Book.

We have also increased our current forecast for Disney’s Zootopia this week. BoxOffice feels increasingly confident in Zootopia, as the film continues to register strong online activity levels, has received exceptional early critical reviews and is performing very well in its early overseas start thus far.

The Huntsman: Winter’s War (Universal)

PROS:

– 2012’s Snow White and the Huntsman had a healthy domestic box office run, as the film opened with $56.2 million and went on to gross $155.3 million in total.

– Emily Blunt and Jessica Chastain have joined returning cast members Chris Hemsworth and Charlize Theron.

– The subject matter of The Hunstman: Winter’s War could help the film appeal to older fans of Frozen.

CONS:

– With Kristen Stewart no longer involved with the franchise as Snow White, there is a strong possibility The Hunstman: Winter’s War could come across more as a spin-off than as a sequel to moviegoers.

– Demand for Winter’s War is likely to be limited by opening one week after The Jungle Book and two weeks before Captain America: Civil War, especially when it comes to four-quadrant potential.

– While the similarities to Frozen could help, it’s also possible that the film could come across as feeling too similar to Frozen.

Check out our complete long range forecast in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
The Huntsman: Winter’s War Apr 22, 2016 Universal $31,000,000 $77,000,000
The Jungle Book (2016) Apr 15, 2016 Disney $60,000,000 $185,000,000
Barbershop: The Next Cut Apr 15, 2016 Warner Bros. / New Line $18,000,000 $45,000,000
Criminal (2016) Apr 15, 2016 Lionsgate / Summit $11,000,000 $33,000,000
The Boss Apr 8, 2016 Universal $20,000,000 $70,000,000
Before I Wake Apr 8, 2016 Relativity Studios $9,000,000 $22,000,000
Hardcore Henry Apr 8, 2016 STX Entertainment $8,500,000 $24,000,000
God’s Not Dead 2 Apr 1, 2016 Pure Flix $14,000,000 $43,000,000
Amityville: The Awakening Apr 1, 2016 Weinstein / Dimension $9,000,000 $20,000,000
Collide Apr 1, 2016 Open Road $6,500,000 $18,000,000
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice Mar 25, 2016 Warner Bros. $154,000,000 $380,000,000
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 Mar 25, 2016 Universal $14,000,000 $50,000,000
The Disappointments Room Mar 25, 2016 Relativity Studios $7,000,000 $17,000,000
The Divergent Series: Allegiant Mar 18, 2016 Lionsgate / Summit $42,000,000 $103,000,000
Miracles from Heaven Mar 16, 2016 Sony / TriStar $19,000,000 $77,000,000
10 Cloverfield Lane Mar 11, 2016 Paramount $31,000,000 $65,000,000
The Young Messiah Mar 11, 2016 Focus $12,000,000 $40,000,000
The Brothers Grimsby Mar 11, 2016 Sony / Columbia $12,000,000 $27,000,000
Zootopia Mar 4, 2016 Disney $63,000,000 $230,000,000
London Has Fallen Mar 4, 2016 Focus / Gramercy $22,000,000 $60,000,000
Whiskey Tango Foxtrot Mar 4, 2016 Paramount $10,000,000 $34,000,000