Weekend Estimates: ‘Jungle Book’ Three-peats ($39.9M); ‘Keanu’ Softly Meets Expectations ($9.6M); ‘Mother’s Day’ Modest ($8.2M)

Saturday Update: As expected, Disney’s The Jungle Book easily retained first place to begin its third weekend with an estimated $10.253 million on Friday. That marks just a 38 percent dip from the same day last week, setting the studio’s latest blockbuster on track for a three-day tally around $39.9 million. With $219.91 million in the domestic bank through Friday, the film is pacing 36 percent ahead of where Oz the Great and Powerful stood at the same point in release. In the process of yesterday’s domestic and international grosses combined, Jungle Book also surpassed the $600 million mark globally — standing at $605.9 million.

Warner Bros. reports the Key & Peele comedy Keanu landed $3.46 million on Friday’s opening day, including Thursday night’s $560,000 start. While that is unfortunately an underwhelming debut, it does position the duo’s first feature film to score a $9.6 million opening weekend, which is line with pre-release expectations.

Open Road’s Mother’s Day opened to an estimated $2.786 million on Friday, in line with the $2.58 million first day of The Big Wedding ($2.58 million) which similarly opened on the final weekend of April in 2013. Despite poor reviews, Mother’s Day will hope to find some semblance of leg-power at the box office with the real-life holiday landing next Sunday, May 8. Meanwhile, Boxoffice is projecting an $8.2 million opening weekend.

The Huntsman: Winter’s War slid 64 percent from opening day last week to $2.65 million yesterday, giving it $27.25 million domestically through eight days of play. Look for a sophomore frame around $8.4 million.

Meanwhile, Barbershop: The Next Cut added $1.63 million for a new $40.2 million cume as it heads toward a $5.7 million weekend. The well-received comedy sequel edged out this weekend’s last wide opener, Ratchet & Clank, which earned $1.49 million in sixth place on opening day. The animated video game adaptation is eyeing an opening weekend around $3.8 million.

Below is our full chart of this weekend’s early estimates:

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The Jungle Book (2016) $39,900,000 -35% 4,041 13 $9,874 $249,556,800 3 Disney
2 Keanu $9,600,000 2,658 $3,612 $9,600,000 1 Warner Bros. / New Line
3 The Huntsman: Winter’s War $8,400,000 -57% 3,802 11 $2,209 $32,996,025 2 Universal
4 Mother’s Day (2016) $8,200,000 3,035 $2,702 $8,200,000 1 Open Road
5 Barbershop: The Next Cut $5,700,000 -46% 2,310 -366 $2,468 $44,280,640 3 Warner Bros. / New Line
6 Zootopia $4,700,000 -29% 2,487 -311 $1,890 $323,212,489 9 Disney
7 The Boss $3,900,000 -37% 2,823 -552 $1,382 $55,761,125 4 Universal
8 Ratchet & Clank $3,800,000 2,891 $1,314 $3,800,000 1 Focus / Gramercy
9 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice $3,500,000 -36% 2,330 -736 $1,502 $324,822,593 6 Warner Bros.
10 Criminal (2016) $1,200,000 -61% 1,578 -1105 $760 $13,351,167 3 Lionsgate / Summit
11 My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 $1,000,000 -52% 1,092 -657 $916 $57,186,800 6 Universal

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Green Room $950,000 381% 470 440 $2,021 $1,346,886 3 A24
2 Compadres $495,000 -65% 368 0 $1,345 $2,237,189 2 Lionsgate / Pantelion
3 Deadpool $400,000 -41% 409 -185 $978 $361,794,375 12 Fox
4 Everybody Wants Some!! $335,000 -49% 442 -12 $758 $2,956,711 5 Paramount
5 Sing Street $300,000 141% 104 79 $2,885 $558,908 3 Weinstein Company
6 Kung Fu Panda 3 $285,000 4% 258 -15 $1,105 $142,008,337 14 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
7 10 Cloverfield Lane $270,000 -51% 305 -290 $885 $71,219,748 8 Paramount
8 The Divergent Series: Allegiant $270,000 -58% 410 -442 $659 $65,509,124 7 Lionsgate / Summit

Friday Update: Warner Bros. reports this morning that Keanu bowed to $560,000 on Thursday night with shows beginning at 7pm. By comparison, that falls a bit shy of Barbershop: The Next Cut‘s $740,000 Thursday night launch a few weeks ago, as well as the $1.2 million Tuesday night launch of Let’s Be Cops in August 2014 (which, to be fair, had the benefit of summer audiences).

Mother’s Day reportedly opened on Thursday night as well, however figures were not available yet at the time of this article’s publishing. Ratchet & Clank also opens this weekend, although it will be Disney’s The Jungle Book once again reigning supreme in first place.

We’ll update with official Friday estimates and early weekend projections Saturday morning.