Weekend Estimates: ‘Captain America: Civil War’ Eyes Healthy $72M Sophomore Frame; ‘Money Monster’ ($14.5M) Beats Expectations; ‘The Darkness’ Modest ($5.0M)

Saturday Update: Disney reports this morning that Captain America: Civil War easily retained first place as expected with an estimated $19.443 million yesterday. That marks a 61 percent drop from last week’s opening day when excluding Thursday night opening grosses, generally in line with the 63 percent Friday-to-Friday drop of last year’s Avengers: Age of Ultron when also excluding its Thursday night grosses. Still, Civil War is enjoying noticeably stronger word of mouth and should continue to play well in the weeks ahead. It stands at $242.8 million through eight days of play, putting it 87.5 percent ahead of Captain America: The Winter Soldier, 4.6 percent ahead of Iron Man 3, and just 5.5 percent behind Ultron. We’re projecting a sophomore weekend around $72 million.

Debuting in second place, and somewhat ahead of expectations, was Sony’s Money Monster. The thriller bowed to $5 million yesterday, giving director Jodie Foster the best first day of her directorial career. The star power of George Clooney and Julia Roberts is driving the film as a counter-programmer aimed toward adults early in the summer. Rotten Tomatoes and Flixster scores are modest at 57 percent and 60 percent, respectively, but there are some early indications that the film is playing relatively well with general audiences.  Boxoffice is projecting a solid $14.5 million opening weekend.

The Jungle Book claimed third place yesterday with another $4.2 million, off just 25 percent from last Friday. With $298.2 million in the domestic bank through 29 days of play, the blockbuster remake will cross the $300 million threshold early on Saturday, becoming Disney’s second film of the year to do so. Look for a weekend around $16 million.

Meanwhile, High Top Releasing’s The Darkness posted a $2.13 million opening day in 1,755 theaters. That bests The Green Inferno‘s $1.48 million as the fledgling studio’s best opening day to date. Unfortunately, though, both critics (0 percent) and Flixster audiences (35 percent) are sour on the film so far. Boxoffice projects a $5.0 million opening weekend.

Below are our early weekend estimates. Official weekend estimates from the studios will published here at Boxoffice on Sunday morning.

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Captain America: Civil War $72,000,000 -60% 4,226 0 $17,037 $295,329,078 2 Disney
2 The Jungle Book (2016) $16,000,000 -35% 3,970 -174 $4,030 $309,996,110 5 Disney
3 Money Monster $14,500,000 3,104 $4,671 $14,500,000 1 Sony / TriStar
4 The Darkness $5,000,000 1,755 $2,849 $5,000,000 1 High Top / BH Tilt
5 Mother’s Day (2016) $3,200,000 -71% 3,291 150 $972 $28,698,120 3 Open Road
6 The Huntsman: Winter’s War $2,500,000 -37% 2,518 -383 $993 $44,459,250 4 Universal
7 Zootopia $2,200,000 -32% 1,935 -142 $1,137 $331,214,439 11 Disney
8 Keanu $1,700,000 -48% 2,120 -561 $802 $18,412,503 3 Warner Bros. / New Line
9 Barbershop: The Next Cut $1,500,000 -46% 1,333 -401 $1,125 $51,180,702 5 Warner Bros. / New Line
10 The Boss $1,000,000 -48% 1,350 -583 $741 $60,961,700 6 Universal

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Sing Street $615,000 40% 525 372 $1,171 $1,888,135 5 Weinstein Company
2 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice $485,000 -54% 744 -849 $652 $328,164,243 8 Warner Bros.
3 My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 $405,000 -37% 717 77 $565 $58,892,890 8 Universal
4 10 Cloverfield Lane $185,000 66% 260 84 $712 $71,695,806 10 Paramount
5 Deadpool $180,000 -24% 262 -73 $687 $362,498,179 14 Fox
6 Criminal (2016) $150,000 -50% 346 -171 $434 $14,566,247 5 Lionsgate / Summit
7 Compadres $90,000 -55% 127 -85 $709 $2,935,210 4 Lionsgate / Pantelion
8 The Divergent Series: Allegiant $80,000 -26% 160 -50 $500 $65,842,792 9 Lionsgate / Summit

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 A Bigger Splash $190,000 66% 26 21 $7,308 $372,429 2 Fox Searchlight
2 Everybody Wants Some!! $50,500 -53% 72 -59 $701 $3,359,129 7 Paramount


To no surprise, it will be Captain America: Civil War reigning supreme again this weekend as it looks for a sophomore weekend potentially between $75-80 million. The latest Marvel hit is riding a wave of strong reviews and word of mouth through the end of its first week.—

Friday Update: Sources report that Money Monster took in an estimated $600,000 from Thursday’s opening night shows. That comes in 11 percent ahead of fellow George Clooney film Hail, Caesar!, which earned $540,000 on Thursday earlier this year. Money Monster has a shot at opening in the vicinity of that film’s $11.4 million debut weekend.

Meanwhile, The Darkness grabbed $206,000 last night, which was about 60 percent less than The Forest‘s $520,000 Thursday start back in January. An opening weekend in the mid-single-digit millions is expected.

Official Friday estimates from the studios and our early weekend estimates will be published Saturday morning.