Monday Update: The Nun II came in above its original Sunday estimate, $8.5M vs. $8.4M, while Expend4bles came in lower, $8.0M vs. $8.3M.
While the two films were originally only 1.2% apart, a margin that Boxoffice PRO originally labelled “too close to call,” The Nun II ultimately finished with a much wider +6.3% lead.
Sunday Update: With a domestic box office of around $48.9M, this weekend marks a new low for 2023. The year’s prior lowest-grossing weekend—shared with the Super Bowl in February—saw a slate of films led by Magic’s Mike’s Last Dance ($8.3M) combine for a $52.6M total.
This weekend’s box office is also the lowest since December 9-11, 2022 ($37.7M), when there were no major new wide releases and Black Panther: Wakanda Forever led for a fifth frame with $11.2M.
Based on studios’ Sunday estimates, this weekend’s top two films are only 1.2% apart, so it’s possible they could reverse positions when box office actuals are released Monday afternoon. Check this page then for updates.
The Nun II
Last weekend, Warner Bros.’ horror sequel repeated in first place on its sophomore frame with $14.5M.
Its sophomore drop was -55%, milder than the sophomore drop for 2018’s The Nun: -66%.
Now in its third frame, it falls -42% to $8.4M and tentatively repeats in first place.
Through 17 days, the sequel has earned $69.2M. That’s -31% below The Nun through the same point in release: $100,610,942.
However, that’s an improvement over its opening weekend, which came in -39% below The Nun.
Overseas / global
This weekend, The Nun II fell -44% overseas in holdover markets, slightly steeper than its -42% domestic drop.
The Nun II has earned $135.0M overseas and $204.2M globally, or 66% from overseas.
The Nun finished with $248.1M overseas and $365.5M globally, or 68% from overseas.
The sequel’s top five overseas market totals are:
- Mexico: $18.7M
- Brazil: $8.7M
- Indonesia: $8.7M
- Italy: $6.7M
- U.K.: $6.4M
Expend4bles
Lionsgate’s R-rated action sequel debuted with $8.3M, tentatively opening in second place and far below the franchise’s three prior installments:
- -76% below 2010’s The Expendables: $34.8M
- -70% below 2012’s The Expendables 2: $28.5M
- -47% below 2014’s The Expendables 3: $15.8M
It also opens -56% below Sylvester Stallone’s 2019 Rambo: Last Blood with $18.8M.
A Haunting in Venice
Last frame, 20th Century Studios’ horror-mystery debuted with $14.2M in second place, despite projections placing it in first.
It also opened below the prior installments in Kenneth Branagh’s ‘Hercule Poirot’ franchise.
Now in its sophomore frame, it falls -56% to $6.3M and third place.
That’s steeper than the sophomore drops for both prior installments:
- 2017’s Murder on the Orient Express: -52%
- February 2022’s Death on the Nile: -49%
Through 10 days, Haunting has earned $25.3M. Through the same point in release, that’s:
- -51% below 2017’s Murder on the Orient Express: $51.7M
- Less than +1% above February 2022’s Death on the Nile: $25.2M, earned during a shaky period in the post-pandemic recovery
Overseas / global
This weekend, Haunting fell -35% overseas in holdover markets, far milder than its -56% domestic drop.
Haunting has earned $46.2M overseas and $71.6M globally, or 64% from overseas.
Nile finished with $91.6M overseas and $137.3M globally, or 66% from overseas.
Haunting’s top five overseas market totals are:
- U.K.: $6.1M
- Italy: $5.4M
- China: $5.0M
- France: $3.2M
- Spain: $2.4M
The Equalizer 3
Now in its fourth frame, Sony Pictures’ R-rated action sequel dropped -35% to $4.7M and fourth place.
Through 24 days, it’s earned $81.2M. That’s below both of its two predecessors through the same point in release, despite opening +1% above the original:
- -8% below 2014’s The Equalizer: $89.1M
- -9% below 2018’s The Equalizer 2: $89.5M
Overseas / global
This weekend, Equalizer 3 fell -36% in overseas holdover markets, just slightly steeper than its -35% domestic drop.
The third installment has now earned $67.4M overseas and $148.7M globally, or45% overseas.
The first finished with $90.8M overseas and $192.3M globally (or 47% overseas), while the second finished with $88.3M overseas and $190.4M globally (or 46% overseas).
The third installment’s top five markets to date are:
- U.K.: $9.1M
- Germany: $6.8M
- France: $6.5M
- Australia: $5.5M
- Saudi Arabia: $4.9M
Barbie
Warner Bros.’ comedy has now spent 10 weekends in the box office top 5—a particularly impressive feat when you consider that it’s notable when a film spends 10 weekends even in the top 10.
Now its 10th frame, Warner Bros.’ comedy declines -16% to $3.2M and fifth place.
That marks its mildest weekend percentage drop yet, by far. Its prior mildest was a -28% drop in its sixth frame, which included National Cinema Day that Sunday.
All time, Barbie has now earned the:
- #20 opening weekend: $162.0M
- #7 sophomore weekend: $93.0M
- #11 third weekend: $53.0M
- #9 fourth weekend: $33.9M
- #11 fifth weekend: $21.0M
- #16 sixth weekend: $15.1M
- #28 seventh weekend: $10.2M
- #78 eighth weekend: $5.7M
- Ninth weekend outside the top 100
- #95 tenth weekend: $3.2M
With $630.4M total through 66 days, it now ranks as the #11 biggest movie of all time domestically, between 2015’s Jurassic World with $653.4M and 2012’s The Avengers with $623.3M.
Overseas / global
This weekend, Barbie fell -27% overseas in holdover markets, steeper than its -16% domestic drop.
Barbie has earned $797.0M overseas and $1.427B globally, or 55% from overseas.
Globally, that’s the #14 film of all time, ranking between 2019’s Frozen II with 1.45B and 2015’s Avengers: Age of Ultron with $1.40B.
Barbie’s top four overseas markets totals are:
- U.K.: $122.5M
- Germany: $58.6M
- Australia: $56.5M
- Mexico: $54.3M
- France: $50.0M
It’s also earned $35.2M in China.
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3
Last weekend, in its sophomore frame, Focus Features’ comedy sequel fell -53%. That was steeper than the sophomore drop for its 2016 predecessor: -37%.
Now in its third frame, Focus Features’ comedy three-quel falls -37% to $3.0M and sixth place.
Through 17 days, the third installment has earned $23.8M. That’s -49% below its predecessor through the same point in release: $46.8M.
That’s a worse hold than its opening weekend, which debuted -43% below its predecessor.
It Lives Inside
Neon’s horror opened with $2.63M in seventh place. That’s +4% above Neon’s January horror release Infinity Pool: $2.51M.
Dumb Money
Last week, Sony Pictures’ comedy opened with $220,947 in eight locations, for a $27,618 per-theater average.
That marked the #9 per-theater average of 2023 so far, behind five similar limited openings and three wide ones: Barbie, The Super Mario Bros. Movie, and Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse.
Money expands to a moderate release in its second frame, coming in eighth place with $2.5M in 616 theaters, for a $4,058 average.
That’s the top average for any film in release this weekend playing in more than one single theater.
The film will culminate with an expansion to wide release next weekend, September 29.
Read Boxoffice PRO’s interview with Dumb Money director Craig Gillespie here:
Weekend comparisons
Total box office this weekend came in around $48.9M.
Here’s how this weekend compares to last weekend, the same weekend last year, and the same weekend in the last pre-pandemic year of 2019:
|
Weekend |
Total |
This weekend is: |
Leader |
|
Last weekend |
$61.7M |
-20% |
The Nun II: $14.5M, second frame |
|
Same weekend in 2022 |
$62.4M |
-21% |
Don’t Worry Darling: $19.3M |
|
Same weekend in 2019 |
$123.4M |
-60% |
Downton Abbey: $31.0M |
YTD comparisons
Year-to-date box office stands around $6.96B.
Here’s how that compares to last year and the last pre-pandemic year of 2019, through the equivalent point:
|
Year |
YTD total |
2023 YTD now: |
2023 YTD after last weekend: |
Trend |
|
2022 |
$5.51B |
+26.4% |
+26.4% |
Even |
|
2019 |
$8.29B |
-15.9% |
-15.4% |
Down |
Top distributors
Grouped by parent company, the YTD leaders are:
- Disney + 20th Century + Searchlight + Star: $1.65B
- Universal + Focus Features: $1.54B
- Warner Bros.: $1.12B
- Sony Pictures + Sony Classics + Crunchyroll: $842.1M
- Paramount: $705.6M
Sunday’s Studio Weekend Estimates:
| Title | Estimated weekend | % change | Locations | Location change | Average | Total | Weekend | Distributor |
| The Nun II | $8,400,000 | -42% | 3,536 | -207 | $2,376 | $69,222,020 | 3 | Warner Bros. |
| Expend4bles | $8,300,000 | 3,518 | $2,359 | $8,300,000 | 1 | Lionsgate | ||
| A Haunting in Venice | $6,300,000 | -56% | 3,305 | $1,906 | $25,352,729 | 2 | 20th Century Studios [Disney] | |
| The Equalizer 3 | $4,725,000 | -35% | 3,270 | -258 | $1,445 | $81,261,243 | 4 | Sony Pictures |
| Barbie | $3,200,000 | -16% | 2,634 | -378 | $1,215 | $630,450,000 | 10 | Warner Bros. |
| My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 | $3,000,000 | -37% | 3,078 | -600 | $975 | $23,803,000 | 3 | Focus Features [Universal] |
| It Lives Inside | $2,630,000 | 2,005 | $1,312 | $2,630,000 | 1 | Neon | ||
| Dumb Money | $2,500,000 | 1031% | 616 | 608 | $4,058 | $2,809,875 | 2 | Sony Pictures |
| Blue Beetle | $1,810,000 | -28% | 1,953 | -433 | $927 | $69,823,000 | 6 | Warner Bros. |
| Oppenheimer | $1,630,000 | -22% | 1,459 | -340 | $1,117 | $321,213,000 | 10 | Universal |
| Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem | $1,625,000 | -20% | 1,751 | -315 | $928 | $116,261,015 | 8 | Paramount |
| Gran Turismo: Based on a True Story | $1,525,000 | -36% | 1,630 | -572 | $936 | $41,783,539 | 5 | Sony Pictures |
| Stop Making Sense | $800,637 | 264 | $3,033 | $1,429,264 | Cinecom | |||
| Bottoms | $607,940 | -48% | 645 | -537 | $943 | $11,046,000 | 5 | MGM |
| Haunted Mansion | $475,000 | 605 | -45 | $785 | $66,823,989 | 9 | Walt Disney | |
| Talk To Me | $447,530 | -21% | 420 | -150 | $1,066 | $47,641,317 | 9 | A24 |
| The Hill | $250,000 | -29% | 625 | -180 | $400 | $7,574,145 | 5 | Briarcliff |
| Strays | $175,000 | -54% | 374 | -387 | $468 | $23,929,000 | 6 | Universal |
| I Can | $165,484 | 136 | $1,217 | $165,484 | 1 | Atlas Distribution | ||
| Golda | $94,425 | -16% | 141 | -55 | $670 | $4,527,286 | 5 | Bleecker Street |
| Amerikatsi | $82,014 | -13% | 39 | 20 | $2,103 | $279,799 | 3 | Variance Films |
| The Origin of Evil | $45,950 | 206 | $223 | $45,950 | 1 | IFC Films | ||
| Elemental | $41,000 | -60% | 145 | -110 | $283 | $154,409,516 | 15 | Walt Disney |
| My Sailor, My Love | $27,419 | 35 | $783 | $27,419 | 1 | Music Box Films | ||
| Fremont | $26,995 | -18% | 34 | 2 | $794 | $219,899 | 5 | Music Box Films |
| Jules | $12,970 | 24% | 28 | 5 | $463 | $1,909,039 | 7 | Bleecker Street |
| Theater Camp | $12,000 | -58% | 45 | $267 | $3,994,383 | 11 | Searchlight [Disney] | |
| What Doesn’t Float | $5,029 | 1 | $5,029 | $5,029 | 1 | |||
| Rebel | $4,000 | -38% | 1 | $4,000 | $10,500 | 2 | Yellow Veil |
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