Weekend Estimates: How to Train Your Dragon 3 Pacing for $28M Repeat #1 Finish; Madea Family Funeral Opens Strong at $24M+

Saturday Update: Lionsgate reports A Madea Family Funeral came in with a strong $9.2 million opening day on Friday, taking first place for the day as Tyler Perry fans are turning out for his Madea finale. Yesterday’s take came in 23.5 percent ahead of Boo 2!‘s $7.45 million first day and just 3 percent behind Boo!‘s $9.47 million opening. Studio estimates peg the weekend between $23-25 million, although we think it could go a bit higher based on current trajectories.

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World added $6.46 million to begin its second weekend. With $74.1 million in the domestic bank so far, it should enjoy a strong bump from matinee business on Saturday. A sophomore frame around $28 million appears likely at the moment, although that could inch a little higher.

Alita: Battle Angel capped the top three with $1.7 million and an updated $66.9 million total, while Greta debuted with $1.6 million in fourth place and Isn’t It Romantic added $1.35 million for an updated $37.0 million cume.

Meanwhile, Best Picture winner Green Book enjoyed an expansion to 2,641 locations with $1.2 million yesterday. Its total now stands at $72.4 million.

Early weekend estimates are below. Updated studio estimates will follow tomorrow.

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)FRI, MAR. 1 – SUN, MAR. 3

WIDE (1000+)
1How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World28000000-0.494286276533956502755Universal / DreamWorks Animation
2Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral25500000244210442255000001Lionsgate
3Alita: Battle Angel6800000-0.453096-706219672031308320th Century Fox
4The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part6100000-0.373458-3751764911600406Warner Bros.
5Greta47000002411194947000001Focus Features
6Green Book46000001.162641138817427580961116Universal Pictures
7Isn’t It Romantic4500000-0.373325-1191353401540033Warner Bros.
8Fighting With My Family4300000-0.4528551441506145546213MGM
9What Men Want2600000-0.52018-3711288495410044Paramount
10Happy Death Day 2U2300000-0.532331-881987250666103Universal Pictures
11The Upside2000000-0.371607-54112451.03E+088STX Entertainment
12Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse18250001.06240416617591.87E+0812Sony / Columbia
13A Star is Born17000001.79123549013772.13E+0822Warner Bros.
14Cold Pursuit1600000-0.51765-555907298621294Lionsgate / Summit
LIMITED (100 — 999)
1Bohemian Rhapsody8750000.483941510432.14E+081820th Century Fox
3The Favourite7500000.3574245410113314203915Fox Searchlight
4Total Dhamaal390000-0.612086187516869262FIP
5The Prodigy390000-0.65533-7987323900004Orion Pictures
6Ralph Breaks the Internet240000-0.36204-20211762E+0815Disney
8Mary Poppins Returns190000-0.02245117761.71E+0811Disney
9If Beale Street Could Talk130000-0.13126-110321463601412Annapurna
PLATFORM (1 — 99)
No records.


Friday Update: Lionsgate reports this morning that Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral grossed $1.1 million from an estimated 2,100 locations last night to kick off opening weekend. By comparison, that comes in 12 percent behind What Men Want ($1.25 million), 18.5 percent behind Night School ($1.35 million), 10 percent ahead of Acrimony ($1.0 million), 45 percent ahead of Boo 2! A Madea Halloween ($760K), and 28 percent ahead of the first Boo! ($860K).

Perry’s Madea finale is expected to earn a healthy debut in second place this weekend behind the sophomore performance of How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World.

More updates to follow throughout the weekend.