Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – Domestic
Monday afternoon update: Disney’s weekend actuals for the film came in higher than expected, with $181.3M domestic.
Sunday update: Disney and Marvel Studios’ superhero sequel Black Panther: Wakanda Forever earned an estimated $180.0M this weekend. That’s about in line with pre-release projections, which hovered in the $170M-$205M range.
That opening is:
- -10% behind 2018’s original Black Panther ($202.0M)
- #13 biggest opening weekend of all time, between 2018’s Incredibles 2 ($182.6M) and 2016’s Captain America: Civil War ($179.1M)
- #2 opening weekend of 2022 so far, behind only May’s Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness ($187.4M) and above June’s Jurassic World: Dominion ($145.0M)
- The #1 November opening weekend of all time, beating the previous record, 2013’s The Hunger Games: Catching Fire ($158.0M)
- #8 opening weekend in the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU), behind:
- 2019’s Avengers: Endgame ($357.1M)
- 2021’s Spider-Man: No Way Home ($260.1M)
- 2018’s Avengers: Infinity War ($257.6M)
- 2012’s The Avengers ($207.4M)
- 2018’s Black Panther ($202.0M)
- 2015’s Avengers: Age of Ultron ($191.2M)
- May’s Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness ($187.4M)
Wakanda is playing in 4,396 theaters. That’s the #24 widest release of all time, and #8 widest so far in 2022.
Its $40,946 per-theater average marks the #4 average of 2022 so far, behind only the opening weekends of March’s Everything Everywhere All at Once ($50,131), October’s The Banshees of Inisherin ($46,114), May’s Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness ($41,337),
Wakanda‘s domestic audience was an estimated 52% male and 63% ages 25+. (Disney didn’t break down the opening weekend demographics by race.)
Premium formats comprised 34% of the earnings, including 13% premium large format, 11% from 3D, and 8% from IMAX.
The title received an “A” CinemaScore.
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – Overseas
Opening in 50 overseas markets, including an early rollout on Wednesday in some territories, Wakanda opened with $180M, for a $330M global start.
That marks the MCU’s #11 global debut, though it comes in -5% behind 2018’s original Black Panther.
The previous installment would go on to earn $105.0M from China, although it opened there three weeks after its global debut. A Chinese release for the sequel has yet to be confirmed.
Wakanda’s top overseas markets to date include:
- U.K. ($15.0M)
- France ($13.7M)
- Mexico ($12.8M)
- South Korea ($8.9M)
- Brazil ($7.1M)
- Australia ($6.8M)
- India ($6.4M)
- Indonesia ($6.1M)
- Germany ($6.1M)
- Italy ($4.2M)
After taking the box office crown for the past three straight frames, the Warner Bros. DC Comics adaptation Black Adam fell -53% to $8.6M and second place.
Through 24 days, it’s now earned $151.1M. Compared to some comparable DC Comics adaptations through the equivalent point in release, that’s:
- +15% above 2019’s Shazam! ($131.2M)
- -47% below 2018’s Aquaman ($287.9M), even though its opening weekend was only +1% ahead of Adam
Compared to other comparable titles starring Dwayne Johnson through the equivalent point in release, Adam is running:
- -42% below 2017’s Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle ($262.2M)
- -35% below 2019’s Jumanji: The Next Level ($235.9M)
- -1% below 2016’s Moana ($153.2M), to the extent that the animated title is a valid comparison
- +2% above 2019’s Hobbs & Shaw ($147.6M)
- +13% above 2015’s San Andreas ($132.6M)
- +78% above 2018’s Rampage ($84.8M)
Compared to comparable superhero titles from rival Marvel Studios which opened in the same range, Adam is running:
- -22% behind 2021’s Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings ($196.2M)
- Less than +1% above 2021’s Eternals ($150.7M)
Overseas, Adam has earned $201.1M, for a $352.2M global total. Top market totals include:
- U.K. ($21.1M)
- France ($15.1M)
- Mexico ($13.9M)
- Brazil ($13.5M)
- Australia ($10.7M)
One Piece Film: Red
Last weekend, Crunchyroll’s anime title One Piece Film: Red opened in second place with $9.3M. In its sophomore frame, it falls -84% to $1.4M and eighth place.
That’s perhaps the steepest sophomore drop among prominent anime films of recent years, steeper than:
- 2019’s Dragon Ball Super: Broly (-69%)
- 2021’s Demon Slayer the Movie: Mugen Train (-71%)
- February 2020’s pre-pandemic My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (-71%)
- 2021’s My Hero Academia: World Heroes’ Mission (-74%)
- March’s Jujutsu Kaisen 0: The Movie (-75%)
- August’s Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero (-78%)
Ahead of its wide release over Thanksgiving weekend, Universal’s The Fabelmans debuted in four theaters in New York City and Los Angeles, Steven Spielberg’s semi-autobiographical awards contender earned $160K, for a $40K per-theater average.
That’s the #5 average of 2022 so far, behind only the opening weekends of March’s Everything Everywhere All at Once ($50,131), October’s The Banshees of Inisherin ($46,114), May’s Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness ($41,337), and this weekend’s Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (estimated $40,000).
It’s possible that when weekend actuals are released Monday afternoon, The Fabelmans could also fall below the opening average of October’s TÁR ($39,655).
Total box office this weekend came in around $207.9M, which is:
- 3.6x last weekend’s total ($56.4M), when Black Adam led for a third consecutive frame with $18.2M.
- +89% above the equivalent weekend in 2021 ($109.6M), when Eternals led with $71.2M.
- +71% above the equivalent weekend in the last pre-pandemic year 2019 ($121.3M), when Midway opened with $17.8M.
This weekend’s box office total marks the #4 frame of 2022 so far, behind only:
- July 8-10 ($238.3M), led by Thor: Love and Thunder ($144.1M)
- May 6-8 ($222.3M), led by Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness ($187.4M)
- June 10-12 ($214.8M), led by Jurassic World: Dominion ($145.0M)
Year-to-date box office stands around $6.40B. That’s:
- +97.7% this same point in the pandemic recovery year of 2021 ($3.24B), down from +98.5% after last weekend.
- -32.7% behind this same point in 2019, the last pre-pandemic year ($9.52B), up from -33.9% last weekend. The peak was around -29.5%, set in mid-July.
- Universal ($1.40B)
- Paramount ($1.28B)
- Disney ($1.06B)
- Warner Bros. ($917.2M)
- Sony Pictures ($822.8M)
Sunday’s Studio Weekend Estimates:
|Title||Estimated weekend||% change||Locations||Location change||Average||Total||Weekend||Distributor|
|Black Panther: Wakanda Forever||$180,000,000||4,396||$40,946||$180,000,000||1||Walt Disney|
|Black Adam||$8,600,000||-53%||3,603||-382||$2,387||$151,123,090||4||Warner Bros.|
|Ticket to Paradise||$6,100,000||-29%||3,633||-433||$1,679||$56,512,445||4||Universal|
|Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile||$3,200,000||-5%||2,486||-519||$1,287||$40,839,609||6||Sony Pictures|
|Prey for the Devil||$2,010,000||-48%||2,164||-816||$929||$16,961,244||3||Lionsgate|
|The Banshees of Inisherin||$1,700,000||-17%||960||65||$1,771||$5,784,663||4||Searchlight Pictures|
|One Piece Film: Red||$1,447,807||-84%||2,213||-154||$654||$12,768,073||2||Crunchyroll|
|Armageddon Time||$352,000||-56%||981||-25||$359||$1,582,570||3||Focus Features|
|The Woman King||$260,000||-71%||513||-562||$507||$66,487,527||9||Sony Pictures|
|Triangle of Sadness||$250,800||-41%||184||-303||$1,363||$3,519,637||6||Neon|
|Minions: The Rise of Gru||$86,000||-34%||211||-231||$408||$369,347,010||20||Universal|
|Amsterdam||$53,000||-52%||170||-200||$312||$14,907,177||6||20th Century Studios|
|Barbarian||$53,000||-24%||45||-115||$1,178||$40,811,903||10||20th Century Studios|
|The Bad Guys||$45,000||-61%||128||-436||$352||$97,223,140||30||Universal|
|Meet Me in the Bathroom||$28,123||-67%||20||16||$1,406||$222,718||2||Utopia|
|RRR: Rise, Roar, Revolt||$10,478||-4%||1||$10,478||$262,288||34||Sarigama Cinemas|
|All That Breathes||$4,810||3||$1,603||$31,858||4||Submarine Deluxe|
|Running The Bases||$3,500||-78%||8||-9||$438||$1,508,464||9||UP2U Films|