The Boxoffice Podium
Forecasting the Top 3 Movies at the Domestic Box Office | March 13 – 15, 2026
Week 11 | March 13 – 15, 2026
1. Hoppers
Pixar | Week 2
Weekend Range: $23M – $28M
Showtime Marketshare: 19%
Pros
- Disney/Pixar’s latest effort came out swinging with a $45.3M opening (down from $46M Sunday estimate. With no real family competition until The Super Mario Galaxy Movie hits at the top of April, our forecasting panel expects a second-frame hold under -50% here. With solid word-of-mouth momentum, including an “A” CinemaScore and 93% critical/94% audience scores via Rotten Tomatoes, this one could really leg it out.
Cons
- If we are being honest here, the opening of Hoppers is mostly positive in comparison to last year’s disaster, Elio, and its $20.8M debut. When you look at the arc of Pixar openings over the company’s three-decade span, Hoppers is their sixth-lowest wide debut unadjusted for inflation. It’s lower than the last big original Coco ($50.8M bow), and a smidge below the nearly two-decade-old Ratatouille ($47M Bow). Is this a better opening than Elemental or Elio? Absolutely. That said, the new film is performing more like a Q1 diversion than a groundbreaking franchise-starter.
2. Reminders of Him
Universal | NEW
Opening Weekend Range: $15M – $18M
Showtime Marketshare: 13%
Pros
- From the pen of author Colleen Hoover comes Universal’s Reminders of Him, which follows a woman who returns to her hometown after a stint in prison to restart her life with a former NFL player. If word of mouth is good, the true success of this film will be seen in weeks 2, 3, and 4. Like Regretting You, which maintained #2 status for three weeks with several brushes with #1, this one is not an opening-weekend play. Although the current Rotten Tomatoes critical consensus is a middling 63%, that’s actually better than previous Hoover adaptations, It Ends With Us (55%) and Regretting You (29%), which could be a positive bellwether for audience response.
Cons
- Having a lead like Maika Monroe of It Follows and Longlegs fame would mean more to a horror crowd than those coming to this one for a weepie. Although It Ends With Us opened to $50M and totaled $148.5M in late summer ’24, the corrosive relationship between that film’s leads arguably diminished the Hoover brand. When Paramount followed up with Regretting You the next year, it resulted in a soft $13.68M opening and a modest $48.85M gross. For those hoping that Hoover would follow in the Nicholas Sparks box office tradition (The Notebook, A Walk to Remember), Reminders of Him may be a make-or-break for this brand and the viability of the romance genre at the box office.
3. Scream 7
Paramount Pictures | Week 3
Weekend Range: $7M – $10M
Showtime Marketshare: 10%
Pros
- Paramount’s Scream 7 dropped to #2 over the weekend with $17M (down from $17.3M estimate), with a current $94.3M. The meta-fright sequel should hurtle over $100M over this coming frame and hold on to become the highest earner in the franchise (beating $108.39M for Scream VI). There is also no real competition from A24’s genre release Undertone, which had its festival premiere last summer, making it somewhat spoiled goods.
Cons
- This movie’s -73.3% second-frame drop was even greater than that of the moribund flop Scream 4, which had a -62.4% drop in Frame 2 during its 2011 run. There’s no question that poor word of mouth stopped this new entry in its tracks, which makes the enormous/franchise-best opening all the sadder since it spoke of an audience ready to love what was being delivered. No matter how big a franchise is, if you scorch the earth, it always makes it an uphill battle on the next installment.
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