Long Range Forecast: Dinosaurs Invade the August Box Office with THE END OF OAK STREET, PAW PATROL: THE DINO MOVIE

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Long Range Forecast – August 14, 2026

PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie | Paramount

Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $15M – $20M

A solid counterprogrammer for families in the post-Covid era, the Paw Patrol series should provide family fun for audiences into the August corridor with their latest release, The Dino Movie. Of the two previous films in the Paw Patrol franchise, the first—2021’s Paw Patrol: The Movie—came out in August, opening to $13.1M en route to a $40.1M domestic total. The sequel, 2023’s Paw Patrol: The Might Movie, hit theaters in September, racking up a $22.7M debut. Other Paramount family titles released in August or September include 2023’s Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem ($28M domestic opening) and 2024’s Transformers One ($24.6M). Looking outside of Paramount, recent August/September family titles include 2024’s The Wild Robot ($35.7M) and Harold and the Purple Crayon ($6M) and 2025’s The Bad Guys 2 ($21.9M) and Gabby’s Dollhouse: The Movie ($13.6M).

The End of Oak Street | Warner Bros.

Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $25M – $35M

The second dino movie to open theatrically on August 14, The End of Oak Street follows a family whose suburban neighborhood is transported to mysterious, dinosaur-inhabited environs. Early marketing materials have found positive traction, leading us to believe this could play a bigger role than originally anticipated over the summer—though the lack of pre-existing IP makes the marketing lift a bit tougher. (That is, assuming Warner Bros. decides to invest in anything beyond token marketing as opening weekend approaches, something the studio failed to do for Evil Dead Burn earlier this month.)

Should said marketing A) exist and B) connect with audiences, The End of Oak Street could be looking at a success story a la last year’s Weapons, also an original genre title released by Warner Bros. in August. That our forecast has The End of Oak Street opening under Weapons‘ $43.5M is reflective in part of the 11-year gap between writer/director David Robert Mitchell’s breakout title (2015’s It Follows) and his latest release, whereas Weapons writer/director Zach Cregger burst onto the scene with Barbarian only three years ago. (David Robert Mitchell’s sophomore title, 2019’s Under the Silver Lake, was never released on more than 50 screens, making it all but useless as a box office comp.) Other original-IP genre titles released by Warner Bros. in recent years include, on the high end, Ryan Coogler’s Sinners ($48M domestic opening), which became one of the top-ten highest grossing films of the year domestically in spite of a low-energy marketing campaign from the distributor, and on the low end M. Night Shyamalan’s Trap ($15.4M, also an August release) and Bong Joon Ho’s Mickey 17 ($19M).

Other comps for this title include, on the high end, $45.5M opener The Meg (another August Warner Bros. release involving man vs monsters, though one that appears to be quite different in tone from The End Oak Street), and on the low end dinosaur action/adventure title 65 ($12.3M) and original IP sci-fi title The Creator ($14M).

Tracking Updates [As Of 7/24/26]