This week’s Long Range Forecast takes a first look at the 2018 slate, beginning with Insidious: The Last Key‘s scheduled release date of January 5. Aaron Sorkin’s Molly’s Game is also slated to expand nationwide that weekend.
This Week’s Key Updates:
- Minimal marketing and mixed social media awareness for The Star have lowered expectations for that film, particularly with Pixar’s Coco — opening five days later — trending well and generating strong early reviews.
- Insidious: The Last Key will likely benefit from the recent wave of horror success, but the franchise’s declining returns and a history of horror titles with short staying power in early January are the main factors behind our current forecast.
- Molly’s Game‘s limited release throughout December will be key to determining how much mainstream potential it has upon expanding in January. At the very least, fans of Jessica Chastain and writer/director Aaron Sorkin are expected to turn out for the strongly reviewed film. A strong award season push could significantly improve box office prospects.
The 8-Week Forecast:
|Release Date||Title||3-Day Wide Opening||% Chg from Last Week||Domestic Total||% Chg from Last Week||Location Count||Distributor|
|11/17/2017||Justice League||$130,000,000||$312,000,000||4,000||Warner Bros.|
|11/17/2017||The Star||$12,000,000||-8%||$44,000,000||-27%||3,000||Sony / Columbia|
|11/22/2017||The Man Who Invented Christmas||n/a||n/a||Bleecker Street|
|11/24/2017||Darkest Hour||n/a||n/a||Focus Features|
|12/1/2017||(no films scheduled currently)|
|12/8/2017||The Disaster Artist||n/a||n/a||A24|
|12/8/2017||Just Getting Started||$8,000,000||$36,000,000||Broad Green Pictures|
|12/15/2017||Star Wars: The Last Jedi||$215,000,000||$742,000,000||Disney|
|12/20/2017||The Greatest Showman on Earth||$11,000,000||$75,000,000||Fox|
|12/20/2017||Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle||$22,000,000||$175,000,000||Sony / Columbia|
|12/22/2017||All the Money in the World||n/a||n/a||TriStar|
|12/22/2017||Pitch Perfect 3||$40,000,000||$136,000,000||Universal|
|12/22/2017||Father Figures||$7,000,000||$41,000,000||Warner Bros.|
|12/29/2017||(no films scheduled currently)||–||–||–|
|1/5/2018||Insidious: The Last Key||$19,500,000||NEW||$34,500,000||NEW||Universal|