Long Range Tracking: ‘A Dog’s Way Home’ & ‘The Upside’; Plus ‘Aquaman’ & More Updates

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This week’s report continues an early look at 2019’s first wide releases, moving into the weekend of January 11.

A Dog’s Way Home
Opening Weekend Range: $9 – 14 million

Co-adapted by A Dog’s Purpose author W. Bruce Cameron, we expect some fans of that film to turn out for this family-driven pic. Early tracking is modest, which is to be expected for a fairly low-profile title whose marketing campaign won’t fully kick in until the crowded holiday corridor has passed.

The Upside
Opening Weekend Range: $10 – 15 million

Bryan Cranston and Kevin Hart should prove an attractive duo for their fans in this remake of 2011’s international hit, The Intouchables. Again, post-holiday tracking is lukewarm at the moment, but our primary concern will be the ability of the film to catch on during the heart of award season as many candidates will be targeting a similar adult audience.

8-Week Tracking

Release Date Title 3-Day Wide Release Tracking % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor
11/21/2018 Creed II $34,000,000 $113,000,000 3,350 MGM
11/21/2018 Ralph Breaks the Internet $52,000,000 4% $210,000,000 5% 3,800 Disney
11/21/2018 Robin Hood $9,000,000 -10% $28,000,000 -7% 2,700 Lionsgate / Summit
11/21/2018 Green Book (Wide Expansion) $5,500,000 n/a 1,000 Universal
11/30/2018 The Possession of Hannah Grace $2,500,000 NEW $5,000,000 NEW 2,000 Sony / Columbia
12/12/2018 Once Upon a Deadpool (Limited Release) n/a n/a Fox
12/14/2018 Mortal Engines $16,000,000 $55,000,000 Universal
12/14/2018 The Mule $14,000,000 $80,000,000 Warner Bros.
12/14/2018 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $22,000,000 $90,000,000 Sony / Columbia
12/19/2018 Mary Poppins Returns $40,000,000 $350,000,000 Disney
12/21/2018 Aquaman $55,000,000 10% $200,000,000 14% Warner Bros.
12/21/2018 Bumblebee $20,000,000 $100,000,000 Paramount
12/21/2018 Second Act $7,000,000 $40,000,000 STX
12/21/2018 Welcome to Marwen n/a n/a Universal
12/25/2018 Holmes & Watson $17,000,000 $85,000,000 Sony / Columbia
12/25/2018 Vice (Wide) n/a $65,000,000 Annapurna
1/4/2019 Eli (2019) n/a n/a Paramount
1/4/2019 Escape Room $13,000,000 $32,000,000 Sony / Columbia
1/11/2019 A Dog’s Way Home $12,000,000 NEW $40,000,000 NEW Sony / Columbia
1/11/2019 Perfect Strangers n/a n/a Lionsgate / Pantelion Films
1/11/2019 Replicas n/a n/a Entertainment Studios
1/11/2019 The Upside $13,000,000 NEW $39,000,000 NEW STX

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