This week’s report takes an early look at the first wide release currently scheduled for March: A Madea Family Funeral. While Lionsgate still has Chaos Walking slated for the March 1 weekend as well, we expect a release delay to be announced soon as the film remains in production.
Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral
Opening Weekend Range: $23 – 30 million
- Tyler Perry’s loyal fan base is expected to return for what the actor/filmmaker has promised will be the final Madea movie, a series which has earned an impressive $496.5 million domestically across eight films dating back to 2005.
- Positioned nearly one month after What Men Want, the film has enough breathing room to build significant interest as the next major comedy to be driven by a similar audience.
- Early Trailer Impact metrics are encouragingly ahead of Night School at the same point before release.
- Front-loading is likely given the built-in fan audience, while opening two weeks before Jordan Peele’s Us could hinder staying power on some level.
|Release Date||Title||3-Day Wide Release Tracking||% Chg from Last Week||Domestic Total Forecast||% Chg from Last Week||Estimated Location Count||Distributor|
|1/11/2019||A Dog’s Way Home||$13,000,000||8%||$44,000,000||10%||3,000||Sony / Columbia|
|1/11/2019||On the Basis of Sex (Expansion)||n/a||n/a||2,000||Focus Features|
|1/25/2019||The Kid Who Would Be King||$10,000,000||-33%||$40,000,000||-20%||Fox|
|2/1/2019||Miss Bala||$10,000,000||$28,000,000||Sony / Columbia|
|2/8/2019||Cold Pursuit||$13,000,000||$40,000,000||Lionsgate / Summit|
|2/8/2019||The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part||$60,000,000||$213,000,000||Warner Bros.|
|2/8/2019||The Prodigy||n/a||n/a||Orion Pictures|
|2/8/2019||What Men Want||$25,000,000||$63,000,000||Paramount|
|2/13/2019||Isn’t It Romantic||$14,000,000||$54,000,000||Warner Bros.|
|2/14/2019||Alita: Battle Angel||$14,500,000||$41,000,000||Fox|
|2/14/2019||Fighting with My Family||n/a||n/a||MGM|
|2/14/2019||Happy Death Day 2U||$24,000,000||$52,000,000||Universal|
|2/22/2019||How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World||$44,000,000||$155,000,000||Universal|
|2/22/2019||The Turning||n/a||n/a||Universal / Amblin|
|3/1/2019||Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral||$27,000,000||NEW||$68,000,000||NEW||Lionsgate|
Tracking and forecasts are subject to change each week as marketing, reviews, and other factors are taken into consideration.
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