Saturday Update: Warner Bros. reports this morning that The Curse of La Llorona is coming in slightly ahead of weekend forecasts with an estimated $11.8 million opening day on Friday, including Thursday night earnings. That’s more than 42 percent ahead of Truth or Dare‘s $8.3 million first day last April, although that film didn’t open on Good Friday when many were out of school and work. Weekend projections remain fluid until a clearer sense of how frontloaded the first day proves to be, but topping $20 million for the weekend now appears likely.
Shazam! is holding on strong with another $6.155 million in the bank yesterday, bringing its 15-day tally to $110.2 million. A third frame north of $16 million is the target.
Breakthrough continued its opening with $3.811 million on Friday, bringing the three-day cume to $7.3 million. The faith-based drama has lived up to expectations over the long Easter frame and looks to be aiming for $13.5 million this weekend. That would net around $17 million for its overall five-day start.
Last among the openers, Disneynature’s Penguins continues to perform slightly below expectations with $901K on Friday. That gives the pic $1.85 million after three days in release. We’re expecting around $2.5 million or slightly more for the weekend, aiming for a $3.5 million five-day bow.
Early weekend estimates are below with updated studio estimates to follow on Sunday.
Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, APR. 19 – SUN, APR. 21
| # | TITLE | WEEKEND | LOCATIONS | AVG. | TOTAL | WKS. | DIST. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Curse of La Llorona | $23,000,000 | — | 3,372 | — | $6,821 | $23,000,000 | 1 | Warner Bros. / New Line |
| 2 | Shazam! | $16,500,000 | -33% | 4,183 | -123 | $3,945 | $16,500,000 | 3 | Warner Bros. |
| 3 | Breakthrough | $13,500,000 | — | 2,824 | — | $4,780 | $17,006,925 | 1 | 20th Century Fox |
| 4 | Captain Marvel | $8,500,000 | -1% | 2,653 | -322 | $3,204 | $399,426,133 | 7 | Disney |
| 5 | Little (2019) | $8,400,000 | -45% | 2,667 | 0 | $3,150 | $29,329,410 | 2 | Universal Pictures |
| 6 | Dumbo | $6,900,000 | -27% | 3,225 | -481 | $2,140 | $101,354,910 | 4 | Walt Disney Pictures |
| 7 | Pet Sematary | $4,500,000 | -54% | 3,146 | -439 | $1,430 | $49,233,075 | 3 | Paramount Pictures |
| 8 | Missing Link | $4,500,000 | -24% | 3,437 | 24 | $1,309 | $13,107,241 | 2 | United Artists Releasing |
| 9 | Us (2019) | $4,000,000 | -41% | 2,264 | -504 | $1,767 | $170,181,620 | 5 | Universal Pictures |
| 10 | Hellboy | $3,600,000 | -70% | 3,303 | 0 | $1,090 | $19,396,271 | 2 | Lionsgate / Summit |
| 11 | After (2019) | $2,700,000 | -55% | 2,138 | 0 | $1,263 | $10,635,149 | 2 | Aviron Pictures |
| 12 | Penguins | $2,600,000 | — | 1,815 | — | $1,433 | $3,551,757 | 1 | Disney / Disneynature |
| 13 | How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World | $775,000 | 4% | 1,062 | 240 | $730 | $159,045,140 | 12 | Universal / DreamWorks Animation |
| # | TITLE | WEEKEND | LOCATIONS | AVG. | TOTAL | WKS. | DIST. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kalank | $1,500,000 | — | 320 | — | $4,688 | $2,010,185 | 1 | FIP |
| 2 | Five Feet Apart | $690,000 | -55% | 709 | -764 | $973 | $45,142,093 | 6 | CBS Films |
| 3 | Unplanned | $650,000 | -63% | 839 | -563 | $775 | $17,267,243 | 4 | Pure Flix |
| 4 | Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral | $135,000 | -60% | 196 | -279 | $689 | $72,971,234 | 8 | Lionsgate |
| # | TITLE | WEEKEND | LOCATIONS | AVG. | TOTAL | WKS. | DIST. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No Manches Frida 2 | $57,000 | -68% | 73 | -62 | $781 | $9,164,474 | 6 | Lionsgate / Pantelion Films |
| 2 | The Aftermath | $45,000 | -72% | 85 | -149 | $529 | $1,557,256 | 6 | Fox Searchlight |
| 3 | Fast Color | $40,000 | — | 25 | — | $1,600 | $40,000 | 1 | Lionsgate |
| 4 | Ash is Purest White | $12,000 | -55% | 15 | -9 | $800 | $12,000 | 6 | Cohen Media Group |
| 5 | Faith, Hope & Love | $5,031 | -40% | 5 | -2 | $1,006 | $187,268 | 6 | ArtAffects Entertainment |
| 6 | Girls of the Sun | $4,500 | -42% | 10 | 2 | $450 | $4,500 | 2 | Cohen Media Group |
Friday Report: Warner Bros. reports this morning that The Curse of La Llorona began its opening weekend with an estimated $2.75 million from Thursday night’s first shows. That comes in far ahead of Truth or Dare‘s $750K start in mid-April last year, while topping the recent Pet Sematary remake ($2.3 million) and Escape Room ($2.345 million). It should be noted, however, that none of those films opened directly ahead of a holiday. Due to many being out of work and school on Good Friday today, comparisons are skewed with a significant amount of front-loaded expected ahead of Saturday.
Meanwhile, Breakthrough added a strong $1.548 million on Thursday, down just 18 percent from opening day on Wednesday. The faith-based drama has tallied $3.436 million in two days as it heads into the weekend.
Last but not least, Penguins added $456K yesterday for an updated two-day domestic cume of $956K heading into its first weekend.
More updates throughout the weekend.
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