This week’s report takes an early look at the anticipated continuation of the Conjuring franchise, the third film in the Annabelle spin-off series.
We’ve also included a handful of May updates in the chart below, many of which come in the wake of Avengers: Endgame‘s historic ongoing performance. As is common in these types of market-breaking circumstances, tracking for select upcoming titles may be more volatile than usual in the weeks ahead.
Annabelle Comes Home
Opening Weekend Range: $35 – 45 million
- The Conjuring universe films have earned consistently strong box office returns thanks to fan goodwill, with the most recent entry (The Nun) earning $117.5 million domestically off a $53.8 million opening weekend.
- Stars of the main Conjuring films, Vera Farmiga and Patrick Wilson, are set to join this third Annabelle-specific release, which could bring out a few more fans than the doll’s previous “solo” movies.
- The horror genre continues to be a stalwart for the industry, and a relative lack of direct competition throughout July should allow a healthy runway for this sequel provided positive word of mouth.
- Following Ma and Child’s Play in June, this will mark the third horror/thriller release of the month. That fact, combined with close proximity to the Independence Day holiday a few days after opening, could create minor back-loading.
- Most franchises reach a saturation point, if not outright fatigue, after a certain point. Pre-release reviews could be key toward preventing that for this title, the seventh film in the Conjuring universe (counting The Curse of La Llorona).
|Release Date||Title||3-Day Wide Release Tracking||% Chg from Last Week||Domestic Total Forecast||% Chg from Last Week||Estimated Location Count||Distributor|
|5/10/2019||The Hustle||$15,500,000||7%||$44,000,000||7%||2,750||Mirror Films / MGM|
|5/10/2019||Pokemon: Detective Pikachu||$55,000,000 – $79,000,000||-18%||$215,000,000||-14%||4,100||Warner Bros.|
|5/10/2019||Tolkien||n/a||n/a||1,300||Disney / Fox Searchlight|
|5/17/2019||A Dog’s Journey||$13,000,000||13%||$46,700,000||13%||3,000||Universal|
|5/17/2019||John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum||$37,000,000||$106,000,000||3,200||Lionsgate / Summit|
|5/17/2019||The Sun Is Also a Star||$10,000,000||-20%||$29,000,000||-19%||2,800||Warner Bros.|
|5/24/2019||BrightBurn||$10,000,000||NEW||$23,000,000||NEW||–||Sony / Columbia|
|5/31/2019||Godzilla: King of the Monsters||$54,000,000||$144,000,000||–||Warner Bros.|
|6/7/2019||Late Night||n/a||n/a||Amazon Studios|
|6/7/2019||The Secret Life of Pets 2||$80,000,000||$263,000,000||–||Universal|
|6/14/2019||Men In Black International||$39,000,000||$107,000,000||–||Sony / Columbia|
|6/14/2019||Shaft (2019)||$31,000,000||$100,000,000||–||Warner Bros.|
|6/21/2019||Anna||n/a||n/a||Lionsgate / Summit|
|6/21/2019||Child’s Play (2019)||$17,000,000||$42,500,000||–||Orion Pictures|
|6/21/2019||Toy Story 4||$113,000,000||$390,000,000||–||Disney / Pixar|
|6/28/2019||Annabelle Comes Home||$39,000,000||NEW||$101,000,000||NEW||–||Warner Bros. / New Line|
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Alex Edghill & Jesse Rifkin contributed to this report
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