This week’s forecast is relatively short and simple with no major studios opting to release a new film on a wide platform. Two notables that could be sleeper candidates to enter the top ten are Yash Raj’s Saaho (opening Thursday) and OTL’s Don’t Let Go, the fourth horror/thriller release to hit theaters this month.
Otherwise, as has become an increasing tradition, holdovers will make up the bulk of the long weekend’s business in theaters as studios wave goodbye to the summer season and the remainder of schools check back into session after Labor Day this coming Monday. Angel Has Fallen should have a clear path to repeat in the top spot after it opened on the high end of expectations with $21.4 million last weekend, while Good Boys is earning strong word of mouth after a solid 46 percent drop in its second frame.
Titles like Overcomer and Hobbs & Shaw (among others) should also post healthy holds this weekend with no fresh competition in the way, but we expect the family appeal of The Lion King to push it back into the top three over the holiday period.
Top 10 vs. Last Year
Boxoffice projects this four-day weekend’s top ten films will decline approximately 3 – 8 percent from the same four-day holiday frame one year ago. That weekend generated $96.3 million across the top ten as Operation Finale opened in the wake of Crazy Rich Asians‘ continued dominance in first place.
Weekend Forecast
| Film | Distributor | 4-Day Weekend Forecast | Projected Domestic Total through Monday, September 2 | % Change from Last Wknd |
| Angel Has Fallen | Lionsgate | $14,700,000 | $43,700,000 | -31% |
| Good Boys | Universal | $13,900,000 | $61,000,000 | 20% |
| The Lion King (2019) | Disney | $11,600,000 | $525,800,000 | 44% |
| Hobbs & Shaw | Universal | $9,500,000 | $160,500,000 | 18% |
| Overcomer | Sony / AFFIRM Films | $8,500,000 | $19,500,000 | 4% |
| The Angry Birds Movie 2 | Sony / Columbia | $7,000,000 | $37,000,000 | 9% |
| Ready or Not | Fox Searchlight | $6,800,000 | $20,900,000 | -15% |
| Dora and the Lost City of Gold | Paramount | $6,400,000 | $51,800,000 | 20% |
| Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood | Sony / Columbia | $6,300,000 | $131,900,000 | 26% |
| Scary Stories to Tell In the Dark | Lionsgate / CBS Films | $5,500,000 | $58,000,000 | -6% |
Alex Edghill contributed to this report
Forecasts subject to change as location counts are finalized before Friday.
Contact us for information about subscribing to Boxoffice’s suite of forecasting and data services.
Share this post